Workforce Migration Report 2026: United Arab Emirates

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Downtown Dubai at night, with the Burj Khalifa
Workforce Migration Report 2026
United Arab Emirates
8,157,000
Migrants in the UAE, mid 2024, a UN count of people

Contents

In brief

Work permits in the United Arab Emirates are issued by the Ministry of Human Resources and Emiratisation, but we located no yearly count of them. The one count we found is a quarter four years old: 537,974 new work permits from April to June 2022, changes of employer included, in a MoHRE report as relayed by Gulf News. So this report gives no number and no direction for the volume of hiring, only the direction of the rules: they hold, with no cap on foreign hires and a charge for each missing Emirati that rises on a schedule set in 2022. The UN counts 8,157,000 migrants living in the country in mid 2024, people and not permits. Net migration has been positive every year since 2020, people aged 15 to 64 grow by 484,907 by 2031, and every Gulf register that publishes a count rose from 2020 to 2025. The IMF expects 3.1 percent growth in 2026.

UN count

Migrants living in the UAE, mid 2024, a count of people

8,157,000
The rules

No cap on foreign hires; the charge rises on a schedule set in 2022

Holding
Projection of the source

More aged 15 to 64 in 2041 than in 2026

1,420,000
The rule

Emirati share of skilled jobs due by end 2026

10%

11.5 million people, 35 percent more than in 2015

The United Arab Emirates has 11,513,149 people, 3,007,912 more than in 2015. Most of the growth comes from people moving in: in 2023, the last year the UN estimates, net migration added 300,004 people and births minus deaths 92,697. The economy grew 4.0 percent in 2024, and output per head, 50,274 US dollars, is more than three and a half times the world average.

Abu Dhabi at sunset

People living in the United Arab Emirates in 2025, mid year

11,513,149

35.4 percent more than in 2015. People aged 65 and over were 1.8 percent of the population in 2025.

GDP in 2024, billion US dollars at current prices

552.3

At current prices and exchange rates.

GDP per head in 2024

50,274dollars

367 percent of the world average of 13,717 US dollars in 2024.

Real growth in 2024

4.0%

Against 2.9 percent across the world. Over 2020 to 2024 the economy grew 11.3 percent in all, the world 13.2 percent (our estimate from the yearly rates).

People aged 15 and over in work, 2025

76.9%

Against 58.1 percent across the world. ILO estimate.

A new law, then targets

2 February 2022The labour law of 2021 takes effect for the private sector.
1 January 2023Firms short of Emirati staff start paying for each post.

Sources: World Bank, World Development Indicators (population, GDP, GDP per head, growth, and the ILO estimate of employment, SL.EMP.TOTL.SP.ZS), retrieved 27 September 2026. Population is the mid year estimate. Key dates: Federal Decree-Law 33 of 2021 (UAE legislation portal); MoHRE Ministerial Resolution 279 of 2022, article 3; retrieved 27 September 2026.

Net migration drives growth; 1.8 percent are aged 65 and over

From 2021 to 2023 net migration added at least three times as many people as births minus deaths

In 2023, the last year the UN estimates, births minus deaths came to +92,697 and net migration to +300,004. Years marked * are the UN's projection.

Births minus deathsNet migration
0+200,000+400,000201920202021202220232024*2025*Births minus deathsNet migration+86,297−125,186+87,872+92,541+76,802+421,663+81,758+322,773+92,697+300,004+97,197+278,439+158,634

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators (net migration and crude birth and death rates from UN World Population Prospects 2024, whose estimates end in 2023; 2024 and 2025 are its projection), retrieved 27 September 2026. Births minus deaths is our arithmetic on the crude rates. Not yet published: births minus deaths for 2025*.

About 13.93 million people by 2041 on the World Bank's projection

Estimated to 2025, then the World Bank's projection in the lighter line.

8 million10 million12 million14 million16 millionWorld Bank projection8.51 million in 201511.51 million in 202513.93 million in 2041201520202025203120362041

Source: World Bank, SP.POP.TOTL (World Development Indicators); World Bank, population projection based on UN World Population Prospects 2024; retrieved 27 September 2026.

The share aged 65 and over rises from 1.8 to 2.6 percent by 2041

0 to 1415 to 6465 and over
2025, observed16.0%82.2%1.8%2041, the World Bank's projection18.0%79.4%2.6%

Source: World Bank, population estimates and projections, retrieved 27 September 2026.

552.3 billion US dollars in 2024, then our arithmetic to 2031

Billion US dollars, 2024 pricesOur arithmetic on IMF growth
400500600700800552.3 in 2024749.3 in 2031, our arithmetic2017-1.1%20191.3%20214.6%20234.3%20255.8%20275.3%20294.4%20314.0%

Growth under each year: World Bank to 2024, IMF forecast after. The dotted line is our arithmetic: 552.3 compounded with the IMF rates. Sources: World Bank, NY.GDP.MKTP.CD; IMF, World Economic Outlook April 2026; retrieved 27 September 2026.

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What this report answers

  • What does the United Arab Emirates publish about foreign workers, and what does it leave out?

    No UAE authority publishes a yearly count of work permits that we could locate. The UN counts 8,157,000 migrants in 2024, three in four residents; the one quarter of permits we found, April to June 2022, had 537,974 new work permits.

  • How fast has the foreign workforce grown since 2020?

    The UN counts 8,157,000 migrants in 2024, 18.9 percent more than in 2015. Net migration has been positive every year since 2020 and added 300,004 people in 2023.

  • How does it compare with the other Gulf registers?

    In 2024 there were 74.2 migrants for every 100 residents of the UAE, against 67.9 in Kuwait and 50.3 across the six Gulf states. Every Gulf register that publishes a count rose from 2020 to 2025, by 15.5% in Kuwait up to 66.7% in Saudi Arabia.

  • Which rules apply to employers who hire from abroad?

    No one may work without a work permit from the Ministry of Human Resources and Emiratisation, and the employer may not charge the worker recruitment fees. Firms with 50 or more employees must reach 10% Emiratis in skilled jobs by 2026, or pay 9,000 dirhams a month for each Emirati missing.

  • What is the direction of foreign hiring?

    The rules hold, with no cap on foreign hires and a charge for each missing Emirati that rises on a schedule set in 2022. With no yearly count of work permits there is no direction for the volume; people aged 15 to 64 grow by 484,907 by 2031, and the IMF expects growth of 3.1 percent in 2026.

  • How is the estimate made, and what are its limits?

    With no yearly count of work permits there is no estimate, no line and no direction for the volume of hiring. The report gives the direction of the rules, read from dated UAE instruments; net migration, the working age, IMF growth and the other Gulf registers stand beside it.

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