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Contents
In brief

The country
- 3
49.6 million people, growing through arrivals
- 4
Fewer births than deaths, many more arrivals

Where the market is now
- 5
Up a fifth in 2025, after two falls
- 6
Spain issues fewer permits per resident than the EU average
- 7
Colombia leads, Morocco and Peru follow
- 8
Latin America and Morocco lead; the centres received 3.1%
- 9
Shortage lists decide, and the number aged 20 to 64 holds

The outlook
- 10
About 119,000 permits in 2026, range 73,500 to 180,000
- 11
Origins held at their 2025 shares, and the drivers
- 11
What could change this

Method and sources
- 12
How to read this report
- 12
Sources, photographs and flags
Cover: Madrid at night, the Gran Vía at the Metropolis building. Photograph by Alex Hoces, Pexels.
Spain issued the third most first residence permits for work in the EU in 2025, after Poland and Portugal: 115,040, 20.2 percent more than in 2024, after two years of decline from the 140,034 of 2022. That is 3.8 for every 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64, against 4.9 across the EU and 1.7 in Italy. Colombia was the largest origin; the seven Werklist sourcing centres received 3.1 percent. Eurostat projects 0.2 percent more people aged 20 to 64 by 2041, only because arrivals continue (with lower migration the number falls by 2.1 million). Our estimate is about 119,000 permits in 2026; for 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number, and the direction is flat. In 2031 the central line, a stated assumption, gives 123,000 a year and the count held flat 115,000.
First residence permits for work issued in 2025, up 20.2 percent on 2024
Permits in 2026, our estimate, between 73,500 and 180,000
Permits a year in 2031, the central line; held flat 115,000
More people aged 20 to 64 in 2041 than in 2026, on Eurostat's 2025 projection
49.6 million people, growing through arrivals
Spain has 49.6 million people, 3,164,377 more than in 2015. Deaths have outnumbered births every year since 2019, so the growth comes from migration: 582,896 more people arrived than left in 2025. The economy grew 2.8 percent in 2025, twice the EU rate, and output per head is 82 percent of the EU average. Eurostat projects 0.2 percent more people aged 20 to 64 in 2041 than in 2026, on continued arrivals.

People living in Spain on 1 January 2026
6.8 percent more than in 2015, and 11.0 percent of the EU's 452.0 million. People aged 65 and over were 20.7 percent of the population in 2025.
GDP in 2025, billion euro at current prices
8.9 percent of the EU economy.
GDP per head in 2025
82 percent of the EU average of 41,700 euro in 2025. Counting lower prices at home, 92 percent, up from 91 percent in 2015.
Real growth in 2025
Against 1.4 percent across the EU. Over 2021 to 2025 the economy grew 23.8 percent in all, the EU grew 13.7 percent (our estimate from the yearly rates).
People aged 20 to 64 in work, 2025
Against 76.1 percent across the EU.
Two new rules on foreigners
Sources: Eurostat, demo_gind (population, updated 21 July 2026), nama_10_gdp and nama_10_pc (GDP, updated 21 September 2026), tec00114 (price adjusted GDP per head), tec00115 (growth), lfsi_emp_a (employment), demo_pjanbroad (age). All retrieved 27 September 2026. Figures for 2025 GDP, GDP per head and growth are provisional. Royal Decree 1155/2024, BOE 280 of 20 November 2024; Royal Decree 316/2026, BOE 92 of 15 April 2026; retrieved 27 September 2026.
Fewer births than deaths, many more arrivals
Since 2019 deaths outnumber births every year, and arrivals more than make up the gap
In 2025, 442,536 people died and 321,442 were born. Net migration added 582,896, so the population grew by 461,802.
Source: Eurostat, demo_gind (updated 21 July 2026), migr_imm1ctz and migr_emi1ctz (moves of a year or more), retrieved 27 September 2026. Net migration includes Eurostat's statistical adjustment. Not published: moves in and out for 2025.
About 53.03 million people by 2041 on Eurostat's projection
Observed to 2026, then Eurostat's 2025 projection in the lighter line.
Source: Eurostat, demo_gind (observed, updated 21 July 2026) and proj_25np (EUROPOP2025 baseline and migration tests, updated 11 June 2026), retrieved 27 September 2026.
The share aged 65 and over rises to 28%
Source: Eurostat, demo_pjanbroad (2025) and proj_25np (2041), retrieved 27 September 2026.
1,687.2 billion euro in 2025, and the IMF forecast to 2031
Real growth under each year: observed to 2025 (Eurostat, tec00115), the IMF forecast after. Sources: Eurostat, nama_10_gdp (2025 provisional); IMF, World Economic Outlook April 2026; Werklist calculation (other years: the 2025 value moved by real growth); retrieved 27 September 2026.
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ReportsUp a fifth in 2025, after two falls
Permits peaked at 140,034 in 2022, fell for two years, then rose 20.2%
Spain issued 115,040 first residence permits for work in 2025, against 95,735 in 2024 and 63,267 in 2019.
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst, first residence permits issued for employment reasons, reference years 2019 to 2025, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026.
A first residence permit for work is the first residence permit of 3 months or more a citizen of a country outside the EU receives to take a job in Spain: the authorisation for residence and work as an employee, the seasonal authorisation and other permits for work. Renewals are not counted, nor permits for family, study or other reasons.
98 in 100 permits of 2025 run a year or more
The share valid for 12 months or more: 78.4 percent in 2019, 98.1 percent in 2025.
Share of permits valid for 12 months or more
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst by length of validity, reference years 2019 to 2025, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026.
Eurostat's count and Spain's count of residence documents, 2025
First residence permits for work, Eurostat, 2025
Residence documents granted, 2025, all reasons
Spain's own count covers residence documents for every reason and is not split by work, so it is not comparable with Eurostat's first residence permits for work; authorisations for people already in Spain (arraigo, 221,802 in 2025) enter Eurostat as other reasons.
Sources: Eurostat, migr_resfirst, updated 11 September 2026; Permanent Observatory of Immigration, residence documents 2025, published July 2026, as reported by Diario en Positivo on 6 July 2026; retrieved 27 September 2026.
Spain issues fewer permits per resident than the EU average
First residence permits for work per 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64
The first residence permits for work a country issues in a year, divided by the residents aged 20 to 64 living there on 1 January of that year. These are first permits only, as Eurostat counts them.
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst (first residence permits for employment) and demo_pjangroup (residents aged 20 to 64 on 1 January), reference years 2019 to 2025, updated 11 September 2026 and 25 September 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026. Werklist calculation. The EU line: migr_resfirst and demo_pjangroup for the 27 EU countries (residents aged 20 to 64 in 2024 summed from single years of age, demo_pjan). Portugal's count of 2025 follows a break in its series; 2024 (9.8) is its last year counted without one.
Per 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64 in 2025, by length of permit
| EU | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All lengths | 3.8 | 38.5 | 1.7 | 41.5 | 43.3 | 4.9 |
| 12 months or more | 3.8 | 38.5 | 1.0 | 33.8 | 42.7 | 3.6 |
| 3 to 11 months | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 7.7 | 0.6 | 1.3 |
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst by length of validity and demo_pjangroup, 2025, retrieved 27 September 2026. Werklist calculation. Greece, the fifth peer, issued 2.0, all for 12 months or more.
Per 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64, Spain issued 3.8 first residence permits for work in 2025, against 4.9 across the EU, 1.7 in Italy and 2.0 in Greece. Spain's rate has stayed between 2.2 and 4.8 since 2019. Cyprus issued 41.5 and Malta 43.3. The median of the five peers, 9.8, takes Portugal's rate of 2024, its last year without a series break; Portugal's 38.5 of 2025 follows the break and carries a backlog of people already in the country.
Colombia leads, Morocco and Peru follow
Colombia received 23,464 permits in 2025, 73 percent more than in 2024. Morocco and Peru followed; five of the eight largest origins are in Latin America. The seven Werklist sourcing centres received 3,615 together, 3.1 percent, India 1,340 and the Philippines 1,128 of them.
| Citizenship | Permits 2024 | Permits 2025 | Share 2024 | Share 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13,529 | 23,464 | 14.1% | 20.4% | |
| 13,627 | 14,621 | 14.2% | 12.7% | |
| 8,931 | 12,807 | 9.3% | 11.1% | |
| 7,584 | 7,075 | 7.9% | 6.2% | |
| 5,186 | 5,467 | 5.4% | 4.8% | |
| 2,517 | 4,333 | 2.6% | 3.8% | |
| 2,506 | 2,806 | 2.6% | 2.4% | |
| 1,587 | 1,340 | 1.7% | 1.2% | |
| 987 | 1,128 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 305 | 455 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| Other origins | 38,976 | 41,544 | 40.7% | 36.1% |
| All origins | 95,735 | 115,040 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst by citizenship, reference years 2024 and 2025, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026.
Colombia alone received 20.4% of the 2025 permits
The origins named here received 63.9%; Senegal received 2,795 (2.4%). Of the other sourcing centres, Indonesia received 278, Vietnam 186, Uzbekistan 141 and Nepal 87.
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst by citizenship, reference year 2025, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026.
The seven sourcing centres received 3,615 permits in Spain in 2025, 3.1% of its total
Permits in 2025 for citizens of the seven sourcing centres (Nepal, India, the Philippines, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Indonesia and Uzbekistan), in Spain and the four of its peers with the most permits, against all first residence permits for work. Their share is 23.6 percent in Portugal, 32.8 in Italy, 62.2 in Cyprus and 59.2 in Malta.
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst by citizenship, reference year 2025, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026. Portugal's count of 2025 follows a break in its series.
Latin America and Morocco lead; the centres received 3.1%
First residence permits for work by citizenship: Latin America and Morocco lead
Colombia received 23,464 permits in 2025 (20.4 percent), up from 4,358 in 2019; Morocco, first until 2021, and Peru follow, and five of the eight largest origins are in Latin America. The seven Werklist sourcing centres together received 3,615, 3.1 percent, down from 4.8 percent in 2019.
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst, first residence permits issued for employment reasons, by citizenship, reference years 2019 to 2025, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 29 September 2026.
Of the seven Werklist sourcing centres, India received 1,340 permits in 2025 (1.2 percent), the Philippines 1,128 (1.0), Bangladesh 455 (0.4), Indonesia 278 (0.2), Vietnam 186 (0.2), Uzbekistan 141 (0.1) and Nepal 87 (0.1).
| Citizenship | 2019 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Share 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,358 | 21,018 | 13,529 | 23,464 | 20.4% | |
| 16,505 | 18,306 | 13,627 | 14,621 | 12.7% | |
| 3,748 | 10,007 | 8,931 | 12,807 | 11.1% | |
| 3,946 | 13,678 | 7,584 | 7,075 | 6.2% | |
| 575 | 4,334 | 5,186 | 5,467 | 4.8% | |
| 2,334 | 4,141 | 2,517 | 4,333 | 3.8% | |
| 1,741 | 5,965 | 2,506 | 2,806 | 2.4% | |
| 1,311 | 4,582 | 3,477 | 2,795 | 2.4% | |
| 1,380 | 2,318 | 1,587 | 1,340 | 1.2% | |
| 1,104 | 1,565 | 987 | 1,128 | 1.0% | |
| 295 | 649 | 305 | 455 | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 222 | 230 | 278 | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 171 | 137 | 186 | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 15 | 28 | 141 | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 169 | 92 | 87 | 0.1% | |
| Other origins | 25,743 | 41,704 | 35,012 | 38,057 | 33.1% |
| All origins | 63,267 | 128,844 | 95,735 | 115,040 | 100.0% |
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst, first residence permits issued for employment reasons, by citizenship, reference years 2019 to 2025, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 29 September 2026.
Shortage lists decide, and the number aged 20 to 64 holds
The rules as they stand on 27 September 2026
From 20 May 2025 a first authorisation for residence and work as an employee lasts up to a year, tied to one region and occupation.
The state employment service lists hard to fill occupations by region every quarter. Off the list, the employer must show it cannot fill the post locally.
The immigration office must decide within three months; silence means refusal. The new hire must join social security within three months of entry.
Under the 2026 order on collective hiring at origin, circular authorisations run four years, with up to nine months of work a year.
An application is refused if, in the 12 months before, the employer cut the same posts through dismissals ruled unfair or void, or collective or economic ones.
Sources: Royal Decree 1155/2024, the immigration regulation, BOE 280 of 20 November 2024, articles 73, 75, 77 and 78; Order ISM/1547/2025, BOE 314 of 30 December 2025. All retrieved 27 September 2026.
About 73,000 more people aged 20 to 64 by 2041
Eurostat projects 30,135,528 in 2026 and 30,208,490 in 2041, a rise of 0.2 percent. With lower migration the number falls by 2,145,630; with higher migration it rises by 2,364,489.
Source: Eurostat, proj_25np, EUROPOP2025 baseline and migration sensitivity tests, updated 11 June 2026; 2025 observed, demo_pjangroup, updated 25 September 2026; retrieved 27 September 2026.
Citizens of Spain who left in 2024, down from 155,533 in 2021
Fewer left than in 2021. Eurostat marks a break in the Spanish series in 2021, so the two years are not fully comparable.
Eurostat, migr_emi1ctz, retrieved 27 September 2026
Unemployment in 2025, against 6.0 percent across the EU
The share of the labour force aged 15 to 74 without a job and looking for one. An authorisation needs a job on the regional shortage list, or proof that no one local can fill it.
Eurostat, une_rt_a, retrieved 27 September 2026
Minimum wage a month from 1 January 2026, at least 17,094 euro a year
A part time contract must still pay at least 17,094 euro a year to support an authorisation for residence and work.
Royal Decree 126/2026, BOE 44 of 19 February 2026; Royal Decree 1155/2024, article 74; retrieved 27 September 2026
About 119,000 permits in 2026, range 73,500 to 180,000
We expect about 119,000 first residence permits for work in 2026; for 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number, and the direction is flat. The central line, a stated assumption, carries the rise of 2021 to 2025, slowing, to about 123,000 a year; held flat, the count stays at 115,000. The regularisation of Royal Decree 316/2026 (applications 16 April to 30 June 2026) is in no line, as its size is not published.
Permits in 2026, our estimate
between 73,500 and 180,000
Permits a year in 2031, the central line, a stated assumption
held flat 115,000, a stated assumption; peers' rate 212,000 and demand without migration 160,000, scenarios
Direction of the rules and of the count
Permits in 2027: flat; the range is too wide for a yearly number
The central line, a stated assumption, stays near 123,000 permits a year to 2041
First residence permits for work issued to 2025, then our estimate with its range for 2026; for 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number and the direction is flat. From 2027, two lines on stated assumptions, their spread shaded, and two scenarios. Demand without migration is a scenario, not a forecast: demand read on Eurostat's projection without migration (4.2 million fewer aged 20 to 64 by 2041); the back test scores it worse, so the central line leaves it out. The peers' rate is a scenario, not a forecast: Spain's rate rising from 3.85 to 9.79 permits per 1,000 aged 20 to 64 over ten years, the median of Malta, Cyprus, Portugal, Greece and Italy (Portugal at its 2024 rate), would need rules looser than the 2024 regulation, and no draft law proposes them.
Source: Werklist estimate, method v2, on Eurostat migr_resfirst (reference years to 2025, updated 11 September 2026) and proj_25np (EUROPOP2025, people aged 20 to 64, baseline and without migration); the central line, a stated assumption, carries the mean yearly rise of 2021 to 2025, 6.9 percent (2020, the year of travel restrictions, left out), halved each year, with no demand term as the working age does not fall; held flat, a stated assumption, 115,000; demand without migration, a scenario, 1.05 times the yearly loss of people aged 20 to 64 without migration; the peers' rate, a scenario, the median rate of the five peers (Portugal's of 2024, its last year without a series break) over EUROPOP2025; retrieved 27 September 2026. Values rounded to three significant figures; each line in a row of its own; Low and High give the range of 2026.
Origins held at their 2025 shares, and the drivers
The 2025 shares held: the seven centres at 3.1%
Our estimate holds the shares of 2025 to 2032. Shares in 2031: India 1.2 percent, the Philippines 1.0, Bangladesh 0.4, Vietnam 0.2, Indonesia 0.2, Uzbekistan 0.1 and Nepal 0.1; all other origins 96.8.
Source: Werklist estimate on Eurostat migr_resfirst by citizenship, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026. Shares of each year's permits, to 2032, held at the shares of 2025.
The drivers beside the lines
Only the count's own trend enters the central line; the other numbers stand beside it.
0.2 percent more from 2026 to 2041. It enters no line: the working age does not fall.
The mean yearly change of the last five years, damped by half each year: a factor of 1.07 at most.
137,719 left and 144,335 returned, all ages.
The IMF's projection of real GDP growth for the year the estimate starts.
1,577,842 residence documents of all reasons in 2025, not split by work; Eurostat counts 115,040 first residence permits for work.
Against 9.79, the median of five peers (Portugal at its 2024 rate, before its break); EU 4.92.
Sources: Eurostat (proj_25np, migr_emi1ctz, migr_imm1ctz); IMF, World Economic Outlook, April 2026; Werklist country record 2026.1; diarioenpositivo.com; retrieved 27 September 2026.
What could change this
Three changes sit outside our estimate. Each could move the numbers on this page and the one before.
The 2026 regularisation
Royal Decree 316/2026 let people living in Spain before 1 January 2026 apply until 30 June 2026 for a one year authorisation for residence and work in any job. It is law; if Eurostat counts these as permits for employment, 2026 and 2027 would be higher.
Court rulings on the regulation
Supreme Court rulings of 8 and 29 July 2026, published on 22 September 2026, struck out parts of the 2024 regulation. None of them touches the articles on hiring from abroad, 72 to 78.
Circular hiring at origin
The 2026 order on collective hiring in the country of origin offers four year circular authorisations for up to nine months of work a year. Wider use would push the numbers up; it is not in our estimate.
How to read this report
What is counted
First residence permits for work, as Eurostat counts them: the first permit of 3 months or more a citizen of a country outside the EU receives to work. In Spain they include the authorisation for residence and work as an employee and the seasonal authorisation. Of the 635,438 first permits of 2025, 275,869 were for family and 139,110 for other reasons.
The range and the lines
Our 2026 estimate has a low and a high end, and we expect the real number between them; for 2027 the range is too wide, so we give a direction. The range comes from a back test on Eurostat first permits. From 2027 we draw lines on stated assumptions and, in grey, scenarios, never forecasts. Observed numbers are solid lines, estimates dashed.
How the estimate is made
We start from the 115,040 permits of 2025 and carry the rise of 2021 to 2025, 6.9 percent a year, halved each year: about 119,000 in 2026, then a central line, a stated assumption, near 123,000. People aged 20 to 64 do not fall on Eurostat's baseline, so no demand term applies; the demand without migration is drawn as a scenario. Held flat, it stays at 115,000.
Numbers, dates and words
Past counts are printed exactly; estimates are rounded to three significant figures. The comparison with the EU and the five peers (Portugal, Italy, Greece, Cyprus and Malta) is our arithmetic on Eurostat data. Permits are counted, not people; people appear only where we speak of the population.
Sources
Every source retrieved 27 September 2026, except Eurostat migr_resfirst by citizenship for 2019 to 2025, retrieved 29 September 2026.
- Eurostat, migr_resfirst, first residence permits by reason, length of validity and citizenship, reference years 2019 to 2025, updated 11 September 2026. ec.europa.eu/
eurostat/ databrowser/ view/ migr_resfirst - Eurostat, demo_gind, demo_pjangroup and demo_pjanbroad, population, births, deaths and age. ec.europa.eu/
eurostat/ databrowser - Eurostat, migr_imm1ctz and migr_emi1ctz, immigration and emigration by citizenship. ec.europa.eu/
eurostat/ databrowser - Eurostat, proj_25np, EUROPOP2025 population projection, baseline and migration sensitivity tests, updated 11 June 2026. ec.europa.eu/
eurostat/ databrowser/ view/ proj_25np - Eurostat, nama_10_gdp, nama_10_pc, tec00114 and tec00115, GDP, GDP per head and growth. ec.europa.eu/
eurostat/ databrowser - Eurostat, lfsi_emp_a and une_rt_a, employment and unemployment. ec.europa.eu/
eurostat/ databrowser - International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook, April 2026, real GDP growth. imf.org/
external/ datamapper - Boletín Oficial del Estado, Spain, Royal Decree 1155/2024 of 19 November 2024, the immigration regulation, BOE 280, 20 November 2024, in force 20 May 2025. boe.es/
eli/ es/ rd/ 2024/ 11/ 19/ 1155 - Boletín Oficial del Estado, Spain, Royal Decree 316/2026 of 14 April 2026, amending the regulation, BOE 92, 15 April 2026. boe.es (BOE-A-2026-8284)
- Boletín Oficial del Estado, Spain, Supreme Court rulings of 8 and 29 July 2026 on the regulation, BOE 234, 22 September 2026. boe.es (BOE-A-2026-19632, 19633)
- Ministry of Inclusion, Social Security and Migration, Order ISM/1547/2025 on collective hiring in the country of origin for 2026, BOE 314, 30 December 2025. boe.es (BOE-A-2025-27014)
- Boletín Oficial del Estado, Spain, Royal Decree 126/2026, the minimum wage for 2026, BOE 44, 19 February 2026. boe.es (BOE-A-2026-3815)
- Permanent Observatory of Immigration, Spain, residence documents granted in 2025, published July 2026, as reported by Diario en Positivo on 6 July 2026. diarioenpositivo.com
Photographs and flags
Pexels: Gran Vía at night, Alex Hoces (cover); Alquézar at dusk, Mike Art Visual Creator (page 3); port cranes, Enes Beydilli; Gran Vía from above, George Alex; tower cranes, Airam Dato-on; Lanzarote at sunset, Rumata (back cover). Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 3.0): City of Arts and Sciences, Valencia, Diliff. Flags: circle-flags by HatScripts, MIT licence.
What this report answers
How many first residence permits for work has Spain issued each year since 2019?
115,040 in 2025, 20.2% more than the 95,735 of 2024, after two years of decline from the 140,034 of 2022; 63,267 in 2019. Spain issued the third most in the EU in 2025, after Poland and Portugal.
Which countries do the new hires come from, and which are growing?
Colombia leads with 23,464 permits in 2025, 73 percent more than in 2024, ahead of Morocco with 14,621 and Peru with 12,807; five of the eight largest origins are in Latin America. The seven sourcing centres of Werklist received 3.1%.
How does Spain compare with its neighbours per resident?
3.8 first residence permits for work for every 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64 in 2025, against 4.9 across the EU, 2.0 in Greece and 1.7 in Italy.
Which rules apply to employers who hire from abroad?
Since 20 May 2025 a first authorisation for residence and work as an employee lasts up to a year, tied to one region and occupation. Off the quarterly regional list of hard to fill occupations, the employer must show it cannot fill the post locally; the office decides within three months.
How is the working age population changing?
Eurostat projects 30,135,528 people aged 20 to 64 in 2026 and 30,208,490 in 2041, about 73,000 more, only because arrivals continue: with lower migration the number falls by 2,145,630.
How many first residence permits for work do we expect Spain to issue in 2026, and what comes after?
About 119,000 in 2026, between 73,500 and 180,000. For 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number; the direction is flat. In 2031 the central line, a stated assumption, gives 123,000 a year and the count held flat 115,000.
The full report answers each question with its figures, charts and sources. Request the full report