Workforce Migration Report 2026: Romania

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The Dâmbovița river in central Bucharest at night
Workforce Migration Report 2026
Romania
60,840
First residence permits for work issued in 2025

Contents

In brief

Romania issued 60,840 first residence permits for work in 2025, 38.0 percent more than in 2024 and more than any of its six peers except Poland. That is 5.5 for every 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64, against 4.9 across the EU, and four in ten went to citizens of Nepal. The General Inspectorate for Immigration issued 118,071 work authorisations, a count of wider scope that includes changes of employer. The rules are tightening: Government Decision 1169 of 30 December 2025 cut the quota to 90,000 for 2026, and a court suspended the shortage list on 10 September 2026. At that quota our estimate for 2026 is about 54,800, below the count of 2025; for 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number, and the direction is flat.

Observed

First residence permits for work, 2025

60,840
Our estimate

Permits in 2026, 33,800 to 83,000

54,800
A line on a stated assumption

Permits a year in 2031, capped at the 2026 quota

54,800
Projection of the source

Fewer aged 20 to 64 by 2041

871,000

19 million people, catching up with the EU, fewer and older

Romania has 19.0 million people, 829,325 fewer than in 2015: deaths outnumber births, and until 2021 more people left than arrived. Since 2022 arrivals have filled most of the gap. Output per head is 48 percent of the EU average, but 78 percent once lower prices are counted, up from 56 percent in 2015. Eurostat projects 7.8 percent fewer people aged 20 to 64 in 2041 than in 2026.

Sibiu old town

People living in Romania on 1 January 2026

19,041,322

4.2 percent fewer than in 2015, and 4.2 percent of the EU's 452.0 million. People aged 65 and over were 20.3 percent of the population in 2025.

GDP in 2025, billion euro at current prices

380.1

2.0 percent of the EU economy.

GDP per head in 2025

19,960euro

48 percent of the EU average of 41,700 euro. Counting lower prices at home, 78 percent, up from 56 percent in 2015.

Real growth in 2025

0.7%

Against 1.4 percent across the EU. Over 2021 to 2025 the economy grew 14.4 percent in all, the EU 13.7 percent (our estimate from the yearly rates).

People aged 20 to 64 in work, 2025

69.0%

Against 76.1 percent across the EU.

Schengen and a new hiring law

1 January 2025Full member of Schengen: land border checks end.
27 April 2026A new emergency ordinance sets the rules for hiring foreigners.

Sources: Eurostat, demo_gind (population, updated 21 July 2026), nama_10_gdp and nama_10_pc (GDP, updated 21 September 2026), tec00114 (price adjusted GDP per head), tec00115 (growth), lfsi_emp_a (employment), demo_pjanbroad (age). All retrieved 27 September 2026. Figures for 2025 GDP, GDP per head and growth are provisional. Council of the European Union, Decision (EU) 2024/3212 of 12 December 2024; Emergency Ordinance 32/2026, Monitorul Oficial 335 of 27 April 2026. Both retrieved 27 September 2026.

Deaths exceed births, arrivals nearly close the gap

Deaths outnumbered births by more than 100,000 in 2024 and 2025, and since 2022 arrivals cover most of the gap

In 2025, 238,316 people died and 134,238 were born. Net migration added 102,249, so the population fell by 1,829.

Births minus deathsNet migration
−100,0000+100,0002019202020212022202320242025Births minus deathsNet migrationChange in the populationMoved inMoved out−60,169−25,451−85,620202,422233,736−101,222−25,954−127,176145,519186,818−142,336−16,228−158,564194,642216,861−90,492+102,622+12,130293,024202,311−83,983+96,331+12,348324,091239,244−100,938+76,513−24,425286,538215,191−104,078+102,249−1,829

Source: Eurostat, demo_gind (updated 21 July 2026), migr_imm1ctz and migr_emi1ctz (moves of a year or more), retrieved 27 September 2026. Net migration includes Eurostat's statistical adjustment. Moves not yet published are left blank.

About 17.83 million people by 2041 on Eurostat's projection

Observed to 2026, then Eurostat's 2025 projection in the lighter line.

17 million18 million19 million20 million21 millionEurostat's projection19.87 million in 201519.04 million in 202617.83 million in 204118.27 million, more migration17.38 million, less migration201520202026203120362041

Source: Eurostat, demo_gind (observed, updated 21 July 2026) and proj_25np (EUROPOP2025 baseline and migration tests, updated 11 June 2026), retrieved 27 September 2026.

The share aged 65 and over rises to 25%

0 to 1415 to 6465 and over
2025, observed15.4%64.3%20.3%2041, Eurostat's projection12.9%62.1%25.0%

Source: Eurostat, demo_pjanbroad (2025) and proj_25np (2041), retrieved 27 September 2026.

380.1 billion euro in 2025, and the IMF forecast to 2031

Billion euro, 2025 pricesIMF forecast
300350400450500380.1 in 2025440.7 in 203120178.2%20194.0%20215.6%20232.3%20250.7%20272.5%20292.9%20313.1%

Growth: Eurostat tec00115 to 2025 (provisional), then IMF World Economic Outlook April 2026. Levels: Eurostat nama_10_gdp; Werklist calculation; retrieved 27 September 2026.

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What this report answers

  • How many first residence permits for work has Romania issued each year since 2019?

    60,840 in 2025, 38.0% more than the 44,084 of 2024 and almost four times the 16,394 of 2019.

  • Which countries do the new hires come from, and which are growing?

    Nepal leads by far: 24,486 permits in 2025, 40.2% of the total and 61 percent more than in 2024, ahead of Sri Lanka with 8,891 and India with 4,371. Bangladesh fell from 4,079 to 1,828.

  • How does Romania compare with its neighbours per resident?

    5.5 first residence permits for work for every 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64 in 2025, above the EU's 4.9 and Bulgaria's 3.4, below Croatia's 21.1. On permits of a year or more, Romania issues 5.3 and Croatia 1.6.

  • Which rules apply to employers who hire from abroad?

    The quota for 2026 is 90,000, down from 100,000. Since 6 August 2026 a hire may start only for one of 289 occupations on the shortage list, which a court has suspended, and an employer lodges a guarantee of 1,000 euro per foreigner and may charge no fee.

  • How is the working age population changing?

    Eurostat projects 11,148,144 people aged 20 to 64 in 2026 and 10,277,165 in 2041: about 871,000 fewer, a fall of 7.8 percent after a small rise to 2031.

  • How many first residence permits for work do we expect Romania to issue in 2026, and what comes after?

    About 54,800 in 2026, between 33,800 and 83,000, at the quota of 90,000. For 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number; the direction is flat. Capped at the 2026 quota, a stated assumption, the line holds 54,800 a year; all lines run from 54,800 to 74,100 in 2031.

The full report answers each question with its figures, charts and sources. Request the full report