Workforce Migration Report 2026: Montenegro

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Workforce Migration Report 2026
Montenegro
40,567
Permits for temporary residence and work, 2025

Contents

In brief

Montenegro issued 40,567 permits for temporary residence and work in 2025, new and renewed together, twice the 20,580 of 2021; 11,826 went to company directors outside the quota. That is 113.2 for every 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64, the highest rate among its Western Balkan peers on their own counts (Albania 9.9). From January to June 2026 it issued 20,267, 8.3 percent fewer than a year before. Citizens of Serbia, Türkiye and Russia hold over half, and those of Türkiye and Russia need a visa from 1 November 2026. We expect about 37,200 permits in 2026. For 2027 and 2031 the range is too wide for a yearly number, and the direction is flat: the central line, a stated assumption, holds 37,200; the visa line, a stated assumption without Türkiye and Russia, gives 24,800 a year.

Observed

Permits for temporary residence and work in 2025, up 6.7 percent on 2024

40,567
Our estimate

Permits in 2026, between 23,000 and 56,400

37,200
Our estimate

Permits a year in 2031, the direction: the range is too wide for a yearly number; held at 37,200, a stated assumption

Flat
Projection of the source

Fewer people aged 15 to 64 in 2041 than in 2026

47,400

622,902 people, an economy growing faster than the EU's

Montenegro has 622,902 people, 803 more than in 2015. Since 2023 births have again outnumbered deaths, and on Eurostat's estimate, in every year since 2019 except 2023 more people left than arrived. The economy grew 2.7 percent in 2025, against 1.4 percent across the EU, yet output per head is 31 percent of the EU average. The World Bank projects 47,400 fewer people aged 15 to 64 by 2041.

Roofs of Perast

People living in Montenegro on 1 January 2026

622,902

0.1 percent more than in 2015. People aged 65 and over were 17.2 percent of the population in 2025.

GDP in 2025, billion euro at current prices

8.2

At current prices and exchange rates.

GDP per head in 2025

13,110euro

31 percent of the EU average of 41,700 euro in 2025. Counting lower prices at home, 54 percent, up from 42 percent in 2015.

Real growth in 2025

2.7%

Against 1.4 percent across the EU. Over 2021 to 2025 the economy grew 37.4 percent in all, the EU 13.7 percent (our estimate from the yearly rates).

People aged 15 and over in work, 2025

50.1%

Against 58.1 percent across the world. ILO estimate.

The quota and the visa rules

30 December 2025The quota of 28,988 permits for 2026 is published.
1 November 2026Citizens of Türkiye, Russia and Belarus, among others, need a visa.

Sources: Eurostat, demo_gind (population, updated 21 July 2026), nama_10_gdp and nama_10_pc (GDP, updated 21 September 2026), tec00114 (price adjusted GDP per head), tec00115 (growth), lfsi_emp_a (employment), demo_pjanbroad (age); World Bank, SL.EMP.TOTL.SP.ZS (ILO estimate of people aged 15 and over in work, world). All retrieved 27 September 2026. Figures for 2025 GDP, GDP per head and growth are provisional. Key dates: Official Gazette of Montenegro 161/2025 and 108/2026; Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 27 July 2026.

A steady population today, older and smaller ahead

Since 2023 births outnumber deaths again; on Eurostat's estimate, more people left than arrived in every year except 2023

In 2025, 6,413 people died and 6,925 were born. Net migration took away 937, so the population fell by 425.

Births minus deathsNet migration
−2,5000+2,500+5,000+7,5002019202020212022202320242025Births minus deathsNet migrationChange in the populationMoved in+628−937−30910,737−196−938−1,1346,008−2,119−937−3,056−47−941−98815,989+681+6,304+6,98518,316+648−1,001−35320,016+512−937−425

Source: Eurostat, demo_gind (updated 21 July 2026), migr_imm1ctz and migr_emi1ctz (moves of a year or more), retrieved 27 September 2026. Net migration includes Eurostat's statistical adjustment. Not published: moves in for 2021 and 2025, and moves out for any year. Outside 2023 and 2024 net migration stays close to minus 937 each year, which looks like an estimate by Eurostat rather than a measured balance.

0.57 million people by 2041 on the World Bank's rate of fall

Eurostat to 2026, then the World Bank's projected rate of fall applied to that level, in the lighter line.

0.56 million0.58 million0.60 million0.62 million0.64 millionWorld Bank projection0.62 million in 20150.62 million in 20260.57 million in 2041201520202026203120362041

Sources: Eurostat, demo_gind (observed, 1 January); World Bank projection (UN World Population Prospects 2024, middle of the year), its rate of fall applied to the Eurostat level of 2026, as its own count for 2026 is lower (619,886); retrieved 27 September 2026. Werklist calculation.

The share aged 65 and over rises to 23%

0 to 1415 to 6465 and over
2025, observed18.0%64.8%17.2%2041, the World Bank's projection15.1%61.5%23.4%

Source: Eurostat, demo_pjanbroad (2025); World Bank, population estimates and projections (2041), retrieved 27 September 2026.

8.2 billion euro in 2025, and the IMF forecast to 2031

Billion euro at current prices of 2025IMF forecast
46810128.2 in 20259.7 in 203120173.2%20194.4%202113.0%20236.5%20252.7%20272.7%20293.0%20313.0%

Real growth under each year: observed to 2025 (Eurostat, tec00115), the IMF forecast after. Sources: Eurostat, nama_10_gdp (2025 provisional); IMF, World Economic Outlook April 2026; Werklist calculation; retrieved 27 September 2026.

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What this report answers

  • How many permits for temporary residence and work has Montenegro issued each year since 2019?

    40,567 permits for temporary residence and work in 2025, new and renewed together, 6.7% more than in 2024 and twice the 20,580 of 2021; 11,826 went to company directors outside the quota. No full year count was found for 2019 and 2020.

  • Which countries do the new hires come from, and which are growing?

    Citizens of Türkiye received 10,346 permits in 2025, Serbia 8,148 and Russia 7,429: 63.9% together. In the first half of 2026 Serbia led with 24.1% and the share of Türkiye fell to 17.8%.

  • How does Montenegro compare with its neighbours per resident?

    113.2 permits for every 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64 in 2025, renewals and company directors included, or 80.2 without the directors. Its Western Balkan peers issue fewer on their own counts: Albania 9.9, North Macedonia 8.2, Serbia 6.3. The EU issued 4.9 first residence permits for work.

  • Which rules apply to employers who hire from abroad?

    A yearly quota, 28,988 permits for 2026, by sector. The ministry decides within 15 days on a written job offer, proof of qualification, a health certificate, housing and insurance; the net minimum wage is 600 euro a month. Citizens of Türkiye and Russia need a visa from 1 November 2026.

  • How is the working age population changing?

    The World Bank projects 394,075 people aged 15 to 64 in 2026 and 346,714 in 2041: about 47,400 fewer, a fall of 12.0 percent.

  • How many permits for temporary residence and work do we expect Montenegro to issue in 2026, and what comes after?

    About 37,200 in 2026, between 23,000 and 56,400. For 2027 and 2031 the range is too wide for a yearly number; the direction is flat. The central line, a stated assumption, holds 37,200; the visa line, without Türkiye and Russia, gives 24,800 a year.

The full report answers each question with its figures, charts and sources. Request the full report