Workforce Migration Report 2026: Indonesia

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The National Monument in Jakarta at night
Workforce Migration Report 2026
Indonesia
6,239
First EU residence permits for work issued to citizens of Indonesia in 2025

Contents

In brief

The register of the Indonesian ministry for migrant workers counts 296,948 placements abroad in 2025, most in Taiwan, Hong Kong and Malaysia; the EU countries it names take 2.2 percent, most of it Italy's 4,882 placements, set against 82 first EU residence permits for work in Italy. Citizens of Indonesia received 6,239 first EU residence permits for work in 2025, down 13.4 percent on 2024. Poland issued 19.2 percent of the permits, Germany 18.3 and France 10.9. On ease of entry, then size, Japan, Germany and Poland rank first for citizens of Indonesia. The rules are tightening in Poland and Hungary. Our estimate is about 6,200 permits in 2026, between 3,830 and 9,400, level with 2025. For 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number; the direction is flat, and rising in 2031. From 2028 we give one line held flat, 6,190, and four scenarios, not forecasts: in 2031 they run from 6,820 (open routes in Portugal) to 9,810 (Bulgaria's job orders).

Observed

First EU residence permits for work in 2025, down 13.4 percent on 2024

6,239
Our estimate

Permits in 2026, our estimate, between 3,830 and 9,400

6,200
Our estimate

Permits a year in 2031, the direction: the range is too wide for a yearly number

Rising
Observed

EU countries in the register, 2025

2.2%

285.7 million people, and the working age still grows

Indonesia has 285.7 million people, 23.9 million more than in 2015. Births outnumbered deaths by about 2.3 million in 2024, while slightly more people leave than arrive, 38,469 net in 2024. Output per head, 5,060 US dollars, is 35 percent of the world average, growth was 5.1 percent in 2025, and the population aged 15 to 64 keeps growing.

Merdeka Square, Jakarta

People living in Indonesia in 2025, mid year

285,721,236

9.1 percent more than in 2015. People aged 15 to 64 were 68.2 percent of the population in 2025.

Median age in 2025

31.4years

Half the population is younger. Our estimate from the World Bank's five year age groups.

GDP per head in 2025

5,060dollars

35 percent of the world average of 14,406 US dollars.

The average monthly wage, 2025

176euro

3,330,000 IDR a month, at 18,967.88 IDR to the euro.

Money sent home by people working abroad, share of GDP, 2025

1.2%

Against 0.8 percent across the world.

A law, then a ministry

22 November 2017Law 18 on protecting migrant workers takes effect.
9 January 2025The new migrant workers ministry sets the rules for recruitment permits.

Sources: World Bank, World Development Indicators (population, GDP per head, personal remittances received as a share of GDP) and population estimates and projections (five year age groups, for our median age), retrieved 27 September 2026. Wage: Statistics Indonesia (BPS), Press release of 5 November 2025: unemployment rate was 4.85 percent, the average wage of employees was 3.33 million rupiah; European Central Bank, rupiah per euro, August 2025 average; retrieved 27 September 2026. Key dates: Law 18 of 2017, official text (legal documentation network of South Sumatra Province); Minister of KP2MI Regulation 2 of 2025 (KP2MI legal documentation network); retrieved 27 September 2026.

Births far exceed deaths; net departures are small

Births exceed deaths by 2.3 million in 2024; net departures of 38,469 take under 2 percent

In 2024, births minus deaths came to +2,307,025 and net migration to −38,469, so the population grew by about 2,268,556.

Births minus deaths, thousandsNet migration, thousands
0+1,000+2,000+3,0002019202020212022202320242025Births minus deathsNet migrationChange in the population+2,548−30+2,518+2,152−19+2,133+1,764−11+1,753+2,429−38+2,392+2,365−38+2,327+2,307−38+2,269−40

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators (net migration and crude birth and death rates from UN World Population Prospects 2024, whose estimates end in 2023; later years are its projection), retrieved 27 September 2026. Births minus deaths is our arithmetic on the crude rates. Not yet published: births minus deaths for 2025.

About 313.04 million people by 2041

Estimated to 2025, then the World Bank's projection in the lighter line.

260 million280 million300 million320 millionWorld Bank projection261.80 million in 2015285.72 million in 2025313.04 million in 2041201520202025203120362041

Source: World Bank, SP.POP.TOTL (World Development Indicators); World Bank, population projection based on UN World Population Prospects 2024; retrieved 27 September 2026.

The share aged 65 and over rises to 12%

0 to 1415 to 6465 and over
2025, observed24.2%68.2%7.5%2041, the World Bank's projection20.4%67.2%12.4%

Source: World Bank, population estimates and projections, retrieved 27 September 2026.

1,445.6 billion US dollars in 2025, and the IMF forecast to 2031

Billion US dollars at current prices of 2025IMF forecast
1,0001,5002,0002,5001,445.6 in 20251,954.0 in 203120175.1%20195.0%20213.7%20235.0%20255.1%20275.1%20295.2%20315.2%

Real growth under each year: observed to 2025 (World Bank), the IMF forecast after. Sources: World Bank, NY.GDP.MKTP.CD (2025); IMF, World Economic Outlook April 2026; Werklist calculation: the other years are the 2025 value moved by the real growth rates; retrieved 27 September 2026.

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What this report answers

  • How many first EU residence permits for work went to citizens of Indonesia each year since 2019?

    6,239 in 2025, 13.4% fewer than the 7,203 of 2024 and down from the peak of 7,882 in 2023, but more than twice the 2,645 of 2019.

  • Which EU countries issue the most of them, and which are growing?

    Poland issued 1,201 in 2025, 19.2%, just ahead of Germany with 1,139 and France with 681. Poland fell from 3,175 in 2022, while France, Slovakia and Romania rose.

  • How many placements abroad does Indonesia count, and how many are in the EU?

    296,948 placements abroad in 2025, most in Taiwan, Hong Kong and Malaysia. The EU countries the register names, Italy, Bulgaria and Slovakia, took 2.2%.

  • What rules apply at home before a worker from Indonesia can leave?

    Placement runs through the state agency, a licensed placement company or an employer placing its own staff. A worker must be 18 or over, with family consent, a competence certificate, a medical check, a work visa and a contract, and may not be charged placement costs.

  • How are the rules changing in the main destinations?

    Poland and Hungary tighten, Germany and France hold. Poland lets counties close jobs to foreigners; Hungary opens its main routes only to Armenia, Georgia and the Philippines since 1 January 2025 and closed the guest worker route on 6 June 2026.

  • How many first EU residence permits for work do we expect in 2026, and what comes after?

    About 6,200 in 2026, between 3,830 and 9,400, level with 2025. For 2027 the direction is flat, and rising in 2031. In 2031 held flat, a stated assumption, gives 6,190; four scenarios, not forecasts, run from 6,820 (open routes in Portugal) to 9,810 (Bulgaria's job orders).

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