Workforce Migration Report 2026: India

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India Gate in New Delhi at night
Workforce Migration Report 2026
India
101,573
First EU residence permits for work issued to citizens of India in 2025

Contents

In brief

Citizens of India received 101,573 first EU residence permits for work in 2025, up 20.7 percent on 2024. Most of the rise is Portugal's 23,090, which settled the papers of people already there; without Portugal permits rose 2.0 percent, to 78,483, below the 82,445 of 2022. India's 449,110 emigration clearances cover only 18 countries outside Europe. On ease of entry, then size, Oman, Kuwait and Bahrain rank first for citizens of India, Germany and Italy fourth and fifth. Our estimate is 85,500 permits in 2026 (52,800 to 130,000). For 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number; the direction is flat, and rising in 2031. From 2028 we give four scenarios, not forecasts: in 2031 they run from 89,600 (open routes in Portugal) to 114,000 (places raised in Italy); held flat gives 84,200.

Observed

First EU residence permits for work in 2025: up 20.7 percent, 2.0 without Portugal

101,573
Our estimate

Permits in 2026, our estimate, between 52,800 and 130,000

85,500
Our estimate

Permits a year in 2031, the direction: the range is too wide for a yearly number

Rising
Observed

Emigration clearances in 2025, 18 countries outside Europe

449,110

1.46 billion people, and the working age keeps growing

India has 1.46 billion people, 135,841,027 more than in 2015. Births outnumbered deaths by 13.6 million in 2024, while 630,830 more people left than arrived. Output per head, 2,702 US dollars, is 19 percent of the world average, growth was 7.6 percent in the fiscal year from April 2025, and the population aged 15 to 64 keeps growing.

Mumbai skyline at night

People living in India in 2025, mid year

1.46billion

Exactly 1,463,865,525, 10.2 percent more than in 2015. People aged 15 to 64 were 68.4 percent of the population in 2025.

Median age in 2025

29.8years

Half the population is younger. Our estimate from the World Bank's five year age groups.

GDP per head in 2025

2,702dollars

19 percent of the world average of 14,406 US dollars.

Men's monthly pay in regular jobs, 2025

246euro

24,217 rupees a month; women earn 18,353 rupees (186 euro). At 98.52 rupees to the euro.

Money sent home by people working abroad, share of GDP, 2025

3.8%

Against 0.8 percent across the world.

A new portal, an EU memorandum

14 October 2024eMigrate 2.0 opens: clearances, insurance and complaints online.
27 January 2026India and the EU sign a memorandum on mobility.

Sources: World Bank, World Development Indicators (population, GDP per head, personal remittances received as a share of GDP) and population estimates and projections (five year age groups, for our median age), retrieved 27 September 2026. Wage: Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, Periodic Labour Force Survey Annual Report 2025 (press release, 27 March 2026); European Central Bank, 2025 average rate; retrieved 27 September 2026. Key dates: Ministry of External Affairs, India, Lok Sabha unstarred question 2179 (1 August 2025) and List of Labour Mobility Agreements (as on May 2026); retrieved 27 September 2026.

More births than deaths, more leaving than arriving

Births exceed deaths by 13.6 million in 2024; net departures of 630,830 take under 5 percent

In thousands. In 2024 births minus deaths came to about 13.6 million and net migration to −630,830, so the population grew by about 13.0 million.

Births minus deaths, thousandsNet migration, thousands
0+5,000+10,000+15,0002019202020212022202320242025Births minus deathsNet migrationChange in the population+14,860−979+13,881+13,367−74+13,293+10,228−349+9,879+13,912−1,353+12,559+13,712−979+12,733+13,630−631+12,999−496

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators (net migration and crude birth and death rates from UN World Population Prospects 2024, whose estimates end in 2023; later years are its projection), retrieved 27 September 2026. Births minus deaths is our arithmetic on the crude rates. Not yet published: births minus deaths for 2025.

About 1.63 billion people by 2041 on the World Bank's projection

Estimated to 2025, then the World Bank's projection in the lighter line.

1.2 billion1.3 billion1.4 billion1.5 billion1.6 billion1.7 billionWorld Bank projection1.33 billion in 20151.46 billion in 20251.63 billion in 2041201520202025203120362041

Source: World Bank, SP.POP.TOTL (World Development Indicators); World Bank, population projection based on UN World Population Prospects 2024; retrieved 27 September 2026.

The share aged 65 and over rises to 11.5% by 2041

0 to 1415 to 6465 and over
2025, observed24.2%68.4%7.4%2041, the World Bank's projection19.7%68.8%11.5%

Source: World Bank, population estimates and projections, retrieved 27 September 2026.

3.96 trillion US dollars in 2025, and the IMF forecast to 2031, by fiscal year from April

Billion US dollars at current prices of 2025IMF forecast
2,0004,0006,0008,0003,956.1 in 20255,772.5 in 203120176.8%20193.9%20219.7%20237.2%20257.6%20276.5%20296.5%20316.5%

Real growth under each year: observed to 2025 (World Bank), the IMF forecast after, both on India's fiscal year from April, labelled by the year it begins. Sources: World Bank, NY.GDP.MKTP.CD; IMF, World Economic Outlook April 2026; Werklist calculation; retrieved 27 September 2026.

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What this report answers

  • How many first EU residence permits for work went to citizens of India each year since 2019?

    101,573 in 2025, 20.7% more than in 2024 and about twice the 51,157 of 2019. Most of the rise is Portugal's one off count of 23,090; without Portugal, 78,483, 2.0% more than in 2024 and below the 82,445 of 2022.

  • Which EU countries issue the most of them, and which are growing?

    Portugal issued the most in 2025, 23,090, on a one off count. Of the other destinations Italy leads with 13,620, higher every year since 2020, then Germany with 11,069; Poland fell from 12,126 in 2022 to 5,385.

  • How many emigration clearances does India issue, and why does no Indian count cover Europe?

    449,110 emigration clearances in 2025, 16.0% more than in 2024. A clearance is needed only by holders of passports marked for the emigration check going to 18 notified countries, and no European country is on that list, so no Indian count covers Europe.

  • What rules apply at home before a worker from India can leave?

    Under the Emigration Act, 1983, a holder of a passport marked emigration check required who leaves on a work visa for one of 18 notified countries needs a clearance on eMigrate, with insurance. The ministry tells emigrants to pay an agent at most 20,000 rupees.

  • How are the rules changing in the main destinations?

    Italy opens, Poland tightens, Portugal reverses and Germany holds. Italy's decree sets 164,850 places for 2026, rising to 166,850 for 2028; Poland lets counties close named jobs to foreigners; Portugal closed residence on an expression of interest in 2024 and the job seeker visa in 2025.

  • How many first EU residence permits for work do we expect in 2026, and what comes after?

    About 85,500 in 2026, between 52,800 and 130,000, as Portugal's one off count drops out. For 2027 the direction is flat, and rising in 2031. In 2031 held flat, a stated assumption, gives 84,200; four scenarios, not forecasts, run from 89,600 (open routes in Portugal) to 114,000 (places raised in Italy).

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