Workforce Migration Report 2026: Hungary

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Budapest at night, the Chain Bridge and the Parliament on the Danube
Workforce Migration Report 2026
Hungary
48,520
First residence permits for work issued in 2025

Contents

In brief

Hungary issued 48,520 first residence permits for work to citizens of countries outside the EU in 2025, 12.9 percent fewer than in 2024 and the first fall since 2020. It came as guest worker and employment purpose residence permits were limited to Georgia, Armenia and the Philippines: permits for Vietnam fell from 12,212 to 3,743 and those for the Philippines rose from 4,584 to 12,108. Other residence permits for work stay open (China 7,962, Ukraine 7,407). Per resident Hungary issues 8.5 for every 1,000 aged 20 to 64, against 4.9 across the EU. The rules are tightening: Decree 92/2026 closed the guest worker route to new applications from 6 June 2026. Our estimate is about 47,300 permits in 2026, between 29,300 and 71,800; for 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number and the direction is falling. In 2031 the central line, a stated assumption, gives about 41,300 a year; without the decree, 46,200.

Observed

First residence permits for work in 2025, down 12.9 percent on 2024

48,520
Our estimate

Permits in 2026, between 29,300 and 71,800

47,300
Line on a stated assumption

Permits a year in 2031, central line; held flat 48,500, without the decree 46,200

41,300
Projection of the source

Fewer people aged 20 to 64 in 2041 than in 2026, on Eurostat's 2025 projection

555,000

9.5 million people, 327,430 fewer than in 2015

Hungary has 9.5 million people, 327,430 fewer than in 2015. Deaths have outnumbered births every year since 2019, and arrivals covered the gap only in 2022. Output per head is 55 percent of the EU average, or 76 percent counting lower prices at home. The economy grew 0.5 percent in 2025, and Eurostat projects 9.8 percent fewer people aged 20 to 64 by 2041.

Roofs of Eger

People living in Hungary on 1 January 2026

9,488,428

3.3 percent fewer than in 2015, and 2.1 percent of the EU's 452.0 million. People aged 65 and over were 20.9 percent of the population in 2025.

GDP in 2025, billion euro at current prices

218.8

1.2 percent of the EU economy.

GDP per head in 2025

23,000euro

55 percent of the EU average of 41,700 euro in 2025. Counting lower prices at home, 76 percent, up from 70 percent in 2015.

Real growth in 2025

0.5%

Against 1.4 percent across the EU. Over 2021 to 2025 the economy grew 12.1 percent in all, the EU grew 13.7 percent (our estimate from the yearly rates).

People aged 20 to 64 in work, 2025

81.1%

Against 76.1 percent across the EU.

Three countries, then none

1 January 2025Guest worker residence permits open only to Georgia, Armenia and the Philippines.
6 June 2026No country is listed for new guest worker residence permits.

Sources: Eurostat, demo_gind (population, updated 21 July 2026), nama_10_gdp and nama_10_pc (GDP, updated 21 September 2026), tec00114 (price adjusted GDP per head), tec00115 (growth), lfsi_emp_a (employment), demo_pjanbroad (age). All retrieved 27 September 2026. Figures for 2025 GDP, GDP per head and growth are provisional. Key dates: Magyar Közlöny 135 of 23 December 2024 and 64 of 5 June 2026; Hivatalos Értesítő 1 of 9 January 2025, notice 2/2025.

More deaths than births, almost no net arrivals

Deaths outnumber births every year since 2019, and in 2025 net migration added only 493

In 2025, 124,831 people died and 73,264 were born. Net migration added 493, so the population fell by 51,074.

Births minus deathsNet migration
−50,0000+50,000+100,000+150,0002019202020212022202320242025Births minus deathsNet migrationChange in the populationMoved inMoved out−36,792+25,896−10,89688,58149,795−47,519+9,604−37,91575,47067,364−62,128+21,070−41,05880,47167,999−47,154+115,222+68,06894,14858,408−41,168+26,051−15,11796,19271,369−49,211+4,086−45,12588,41884,286−51,567+493−51,074

Source: Eurostat, demo_gind (updated 21 July 2026), migr_imm1ctz and migr_emi1ctz (moves of a year or more), retrieved 27 September 2026. Net migration includes Eurostat's statistical adjustment. Not published: moves in and out for 2025.

About 8.85 million people by 2041 on Eurostat's projection

Observed to 2026, then Eurostat's 2025 projection in the lighter line.

8.5 million9.0 million9.5 million10.0 millionEurostat's projection9.82 million in 20159.49 million in 20268.85 million in 20419.04 million, more migration8.66 million, less migration201520202026203120362041

Source: Eurostat, demo_gind (observed, updated 21 July 2026) and proj_25np (EUROPOP2025 baseline and migration tests, updated 11 June 2026), retrieved 27 September 2026. The population series breaks between 2022 and 2023 (a new census base): the change over 2022 differs by 78,727 from births minus deaths and net migration.

The share aged 65 and over rises to 25%

0 to 1415 to 6465 and over
2025, observed14.3%64.8%20.9%2041, Eurostat's projection12.6%62.6%24.8%

Source: Eurostat, demo_pjanbroad (2025) and proj_25np (2041), retrieved 27 September 2026.

218.8 billion euro in 2025, and the IMF forecast to 2031

Billion euro at current prices of 2025IMF forecast
175200225250275218.8 in 2025250.1 in 203120174.1%20195.1%20217.2%2023-0.8%20250.5%20272.0%20292.5%20312.5%

Real growth under each year: observed to 2025 (Eurostat, tec00115), the IMF forecast after. Sources: Eurostat, nama_10_gdp (2025 provisional); IMF, World Economic Outlook April 2026; Werklist calculation: the other years are the 2025 value moved by the real growth rates; retrieved 27 September 2026.

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What this report answers

  • How many first residence permits for work has Hungary issued each year since 2019?

    48,520 in 2025, 12.9% fewer than the 55,706 of 2024 and the first fall since 2020; 38,875 in 2019.

  • Which countries do the new hires come from, and which are growing?

    The Philippines lead with 12,108 permits in 2025, more than twice the 4,584 of 2024, ahead of China with 7,962 and Ukraine with 7,407. Vietnam fell from 12,212 to 3,743 once the eligible list was cut to Georgia, Armenia and the Philippines.

  • How does Hungary compare with its neighbours per resident?

    8.5 first residence permits for work for every 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64 in 2025, down from 9.7 in 2024: above Czechia's 2.8, Slovakia's 4.1 and the EU's 4.9, below Poland's 14.8.

  • Which rules apply to employers who hire from abroad?

    Decree 92/2026 closed the guest worker route to new applications from 6 June 2026. Citizens of Georgia, Armenia and the Philippines may still get an employment purpose residence permit, and other residence permits for work stay open.

  • How is the working age population changing?

    Eurostat projects 5,650,835 people aged 20 to 64 in 2026 and 5,095,611 in 2041: about 555,000 fewer, a fall of 9.8 percent.

  • How many first residence permits for work do we expect Hungary to issue in 2026, and what comes after?

    About 47,300 in 2026, between 29,300 and 71,800. For 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number; the direction is falling. In 2031 the central line gives 41,300 a year, held flat 48,500 and the line without Decree 92/2026 46,200, each on a stated assumption.

The full report answers each question with its figures, charts and sources. Request the full report