Workforce Migration Report 2026: France

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Paris at dusk, the Seine and the Île de la Cité
Workforce Migration Report 2026
France
50,848
First residence permits for work issued in 2025

Contents

In brief

France issued 50,848 first residence permits for work in 2025, 13.2 percent fewer than in 2024 and below the peak of 58,762 in 2023. That is 1.3 for every 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64, against 2.2 in Germany and 4.9 across the EU. Morocco and Tunisia were the largest origins; the seven Werklist sourcing centres received 8.8 percent. The rules hold: an employer needs a work authorisation, and off the shortage list must advertise the job first. The count fell in 2025, so our estimate does not carry its earlier rise: about 50,800 permits in 2026; for 2027 a direction only, flat. Held flat, a stated assumption, the count stays at 50,800 a year in 2031. The peers' rate, 67,700 in 2031, is a scenario, not a forecast.

Observed

First residence permits for work issued in 2025, down 13.2 percent on 2024

50,848
Our estimate

Permits in 2026, between 31,400 and 77,100

50,800
A stated assumption

Permits a year in 2031, held flat; peers' rate 67,700, a scenario

50,800
Projection of the source

Fewer people aged 20 to 64 in 2041 than in 2026

284,000

69.1 million people, and an economy near the EU average

France has 69.1 million people, 2,654,156 more than in 2015. In 2025 deaths outnumbered births, for the first time in the years shown here, so the growth came from migration: 233,329 more people arrived than left. The economy grew 0.8 percent in 2025, below the EU's 1.4, and output per head is 104 percent of the EU average. Eurostat projects 0.7 percent fewer people aged 20 to 64 in 2041 than in 2026.

Marseille, the old port

People living in France on 1 January 2026

69,112,309

4.0 percent more than in 2015, and 15.3 percent of the EU's 452.0 million. People aged 65 and over were 21.9 percent of the population in 2025.

GDP in 2025, billion euro at current prices

2,991.1

15.9 percent of the EU economy.

GDP per head in 2025

43,350euro

104 percent of the EU average of 41,700 euro in 2025. Counting higher prices at home, 98 percent, down from 106 percent in 2015.

Real growth in 2025

0.8%

Against 1.4 percent across the EU. Over 2021 to 2025 the economy grew 14.1 percent in all, the EU grew 13.7 percent (our estimate from the yearly rates).

People aged 20 to 64 in work, 2025

75.4%

Against 76.1 percent across the EU.

Two recent rules on foreigners

26 January 2024Law 2024-42 on immigration and integration is enacted.
22 May 2025A new list of occupations with hiring difficulties is published.

Sources: Eurostat, demo_gind (population, updated 21 July 2026), nama_10_gdp and nama_10_pc (GDP, updated 21 September 2026), tec00114 (price adjusted GDP per head), tec00115 (growth), lfsi_emp_a (employment), demo_pjanbroad (age). All retrieved 27 September 2026. Figures for 2025 GDP, GDP per head and growth are provisional. Key dates: Légifrance, Law 2024-42 of 26 January 2024 (Journal officiel of 27 January 2024) and the order of 21 May 2025 (Journal officiel of 22 May 2025), retrieved 28 September 2026.

Deaths now outnumber births; arrivals carry the growth

In 2025 deaths outnumbered births for the first time in the years shown, and net migration added 233,329

In 2025, 647,963 people died and 644,343 were born. Net migration added 233,329, so the population grew by 229,709.

Births minus deathsNet migration
0+100,000+200,000+300,0002019202020212022202320242025Births minus deathsNet migrationChange in the populationMoved inMoved out+140,620+42,560+183,180385,596259,143+66,711+188,206+254,917331,137191,893+80,823+282,312+363,135388,513147,051+51,262+293,038+344,300490,655279,833+38,907+194,393+233,300467,548266,368+17,904+195,393+213,297438,626263,233−3,620+233,329+229,709

Source: Eurostat, demo_gind (updated 21 July 2026), migr_imm1ctz and migr_emi1ctz (moves of a year or more), retrieved 27 September 2026. Net migration includes Eurostat's statistical adjustment. Not published: moves in and out for 2025.

About 70.71 million people by 2041 on Eurostat's projection

Observed to 2026, then Eurostat's 2025 projection in the lighter line.

66 million68 million70 million72 million74 millionEurostat's projection66.46 million in 201569.11 million in 202670.71 million in 204172.23 million, more migration69.23 million, less migration201520202026203120362041

Source: Eurostat, demo_gind (observed, updated 21 July 2026) and proj_25np (EUROPOP2025 baseline and migration tests, updated 11 June 2026), retrieved 27 September 2026.

The share aged 65 and over rises to 26 percent

0 to 1415 to 6465 and over
2025, observed16.6%61.5%21.9%2041, Eurostat's projection15.1%58.5%26.4%

Source: Eurostat, demo_pjanbroad (2025) and proj_25np (2041), retrieved 27 September 2026.

2,991.1 billion euro in 2025, and the IMF forecast to 2031

Billion euro at current prices of 2025IMF forecast
2,6002,8003,0003,2003,4002,991.1 in 20253,187.6 in 203120172.1%20192.0%20216.9%20231.6%20250.8%20270.9%20291.2%20311.1%

Real growth under each year: observed to 2025 (Eurostat, tec00115), the IMF forecast after. Sources: Eurostat, nama_10_gdp (2025 provisional); IMF, World Economic Outlook April 2026; Werklist calculation: the other years are the 2025 value moved by the real growth rates; retrieved 27 September 2026.

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What this report answers

  • How many first residence permits for work has France issued each year since 2019?

    50,848 in 2025, 13.2% fewer than the 58,603 of 2024 and below the peak of 58,762 in 2023. In 2019 France issued 39,652.

  • Which countries do the new hires come from?

    Citizens of Morocco received 8,229 permits in 2025 and citizens of Tunisia 5,486, together 27.0%, both fewer than in 2024. The seven Werklist sourcing centres received 4,496, 8.8%, India 2,319 of them.

  • How does France compare with the EU and its peers?

    1.3 first residence permits for work for every 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64 in 2025, against 2.2 in Germany and 4.9 across the EU. Of seven Western European peers only Austria and Belgium issued fewer.

  • How long do the permits run?

    70.2% of the permits of 2025 run for 12 months or more, down from 84.0% in 2019; 26.9% run for 6 to 11 months.

  • Which rules apply to employers who hire from abroad?

    The employer applies online for a work authorisation before the hire. Off the list of occupations with hiring difficulties the job must first be advertised for three weeks, and the administration decides within two months.

  • How is the working age population changing?

    Eurostat projects 38,146,040 people aged 20 to 64 in 2026 and 37,861,596 in 2041, a fall of 0.7 percent, about 284,000 fewer.

  • How many first residence permits for work do we expect France to issue in 2026, and what comes after?

    About 50,800 in 2026, the count of 2025 held, between 31,400 and 77,100. For 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number; the direction is flat. Held flat, a stated assumption, the count stays at 50,800 a year in 2031; the peers' rate, 67,700, is a scenario, not a forecast.

The full report answers each question with its figures, charts and sources. Request the full report