Workforce Migration Report 2026: Finland

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Helsinki at dusk, the cathedral above the South Harbour
Workforce Migration Report 2026
Finland
9,211
First residence permits for work issued in 2025

Contents

In brief

Finland issued 9,211 first residence permits for work in 2025 to citizens of countries outside the EU, 18.7 percent fewer than in 2024 and 41 percent below the 15,575 of 2022. That is 2.9 for every 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64, against 4.9 across the EU, 4.7 in Denmark and 1.9 in Sweden. The fall follows the economy: unemployment reached 9.7 percent in 2025, and the immigration service names the weak economy as the main cause. On the national count, 11,324 first applications for a residence permit on the basis of work were filed in 2025, and from January to May 2026 applications rose 16 percent. Ukraine was the largest origin; the seven sourcing centres of Werklist received 2,936 permits. Our estimate is about 9,210 permits in 2026, the 2025 count held because applications rose, with a range of 5,690 to 14,000. For 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number, and the direction is flat; in 2031 the central line, a stated assumption, gives 9,210 a year.

Observed

First residence permits for work issued in 2025

9,211
Our estimate

Permits in 2026, 5,690 to 14,000

9,210
A stated assumption, not a forecast

Permits a year in 2031, the central line

9,210
Eurostat's 2025 projection

More people aged 20 to 64 by 2041

70,100

5.65 million people, growing only through arrivals

Finland has 5.65 million people, 181,128 more than in 2015. More people die than are born, 59,209 deaths against 45,832 births in 2025, and people moving in make up the difference. Output per head is 120 percent of the EU average, yet the economy grew 3.9 percent from 2021 to 2025, against 13.7 percent across the EU. On Eurostat's 2025 projection the number of people aged 20 to 64 grows 2.2 percent by 2041, and only because people move in.

Helsinki from above

People living in Finland on 1 January 2026

5,652,881

3.3 percent more than in 2015, and 1.3 percent of the EU's 452.0 million. People aged 65 and over were 23.6 percent of the population in 2025.

GDP in 2025, billion euro at current prices

281.8

1.5 percent of the EU economy.

GDP per head in 2025

49,870euro

120 percent of the EU average of 41,700 euro in 2025. Counting higher prices at home, 101 percent, down from 109 percent in 2015.

Real growth in 2025

0.8%

Against 1.4 percent across the EU. Over 2021 to 2025 the economy grew 3.9 percent in all, the EU grew 13.7 percent (our estimate from the yearly rates).

People aged 20 to 64 in work, 2025

76.3%

Against 76.1 percent across the EU.

Two changes to residence permits for work

1 January 2025The immigration service takes over the whole permit decision, labour market test included.
11 June 2025A permit holder who loses the job has 3 or 6 months to find another.

Sources: Eurostat, demo_gind (population, updated 21 July 2026), nama_10_gdp and nama_10_pc (GDP, updated 21 September 2026), tec00114 (price adjusted GDP per head), tec00115 (growth), lfsi_emp_a (employment), demo_pjanbroad (age). All retrieved 27 September 2026. Figures for 2025 GDP, GDP per head and growth are provisional. Key dates: Finnish Immigration Service, 18 December 2024 and 11 June 2025; Act 255/2025, Statute Book of Finland; retrieved 27 September 2026.

More deaths than births, arrivals keep growth going

Deaths outnumber births every year since 2019, and arrivals more than fill the gap

In 2025, 59,209 people died and 45,832 were born. Net migration added 30,287, so the population grew by 16,910.

Births minus deathsNet migration
−20,0000+20,000+40,000+60,0002019202020212022202320242025Births minus deathsNet migrationChange in the populationMoved inMoved out−8,336+15,709+7,37332,75817,263−9,025+17,526+8,50132,89815,084−8,065+22,513+14,44836,36413,459−18,268+33,997+15,72949,99815,635−17,956+57,837+39,88173,23615,322−14,547+46,667+32,12063,96516,914−13,377+30,287+16,910

Source: Eurostat, demo_gind (updated 21 July 2026), migr_imm1ctz and migr_emi1ctz (moves of a year or more), retrieved 27 September 2026. Net migration includes Eurostat's statistical adjustment. Not published: moves in and out for 2025.

About 5.66 million people by 2041 on Eurostat's projection

Observed to 2026, then Eurostat's 2025 projection in the lighter line.

5.4 million5.5 million5.6 million5.7 million5.8 million5.9 millionEurostat's projection5.47 million in 20155.65 million in 20265.66 million in 20415.81 million, more migration5.52 million, less migration201520202026203120362041

Source: Eurostat, demo_gind (observed, updated 21 July 2026) and proj_25np (EUROPOP2025 baseline and migration tests, updated 11 June 2026), retrieved 27 September 2026.

The share aged 65 and over rises to 26%

0 to 1415 to 6465 and over
2025, observed14.6%61.9%23.6%2041, Eurostat's projection12.6%61.9%25.5%

Source: Eurostat, demo_pjanbroad (2025) and proj_25np (2041), retrieved 27 September 2026.

281.8 billion euro in 2025, and the IMF forecast to 2031

Billion euro at current prices of 2025IMF forecast
260280300320281.8 in 2025304.2 in 203120173.3%20191.3%20212.7%2023-1.2%20250.8%20271.5%20291.4%20311.2%

Real growth under each year: observed to 2025 (Eurostat, tec00115), the IMF forecast after. Sources: Eurostat, nama_10_gdp (2025 provisional); IMF, World Economic Outlook April 2026; Werklist calculation: the other years are the 2025 value moved by the real growth rates; retrieved 27 September 2026.

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What this report answers

  • How many first residence permits for work has Finland issued each year since 2019?

    9,211 in 2025, 18.7% fewer than the 11,332 of 2024 and 41 percent below the 15,575 of the 2022 peak; 8,228 in 2019.

  • Which countries do the new hires come from, and which are growing?

    Ukraine leads with 1,420 permits in 2025, ahead of the Philippines with 975, a third fewer than in 2024, China with 890 and India with 847. Nepal and Bangladesh have grown from small numbers, to 219 and 259.

  • How does Finland compare with its neighbours per resident?

    2.9 first residence permits for work for every 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64 in 2025, down from 5.0 in 2022: below the EU's 4.9 and Denmark's 4.7, above Sweden's 1.9 and Estonia's 1.4.

  • Which rules apply to employers who hire from abroad?

    The immigration service may test whether a suitable jobseeker is available in Finland or the EU and EEA, and the gross salary must be at least 1,600 euro a month in 2026. In July 2026 a positive decision on a first permit took 17 days on average.

  • How is the working age population changing?

    Eurostat projects 3,176,248 people aged 20 to 64 in 2026 and 3,246,314 in 2041: about 70,100 more, a rise of 2.2 percent, and only because people move in.

  • How many first residence permits for work do we expect Finland to issue in 2026, and what comes after?

    About 9,210 in 2026, between 5,690 and 14,000, the count of 2025 held because first applications rose 16 percent from January to May 2026. For 2027 the direction is flat. In 2031 the central line, a stated assumption, holds 9,210 a year.

The full report answers each question with its figures, charts and sources. Request the full report