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Contents
In brief

The country
- 3
5.65 million people, growing only through arrivals
- 4
More deaths than births, arrivals keep growth going

Where the market is now
- 5
Permits peaked in 2022 and have fallen since
- 6
Below the EU rate, between Sweden and Denmark
- 7
Ukraine leads, the Philippines second, China third
- 8
Ukraine first, the seven sourcing centres 31.9% of permits
- 9
Stricter rules, 70,100 more people aged 20 to 64 by 2041

The outlook
- 10
About 9,210 permits in 2026, between 5,690 and 14,000
- 11
Origin shares held, and the drivers beside the lines
- 11
What could change this

Method and sources
- 12
How to read this report
- 12
Sources, photographs and flags
Cover: Helsinki at dusk, the cathedral above the South Harbour. Photograph by Tapio Haaja, Pexels.
Finland issued 9,211 first residence permits for work in 2025 to citizens of countries outside the EU, 18.7 percent fewer than in 2024 and 41 percent below the 15,575 of 2022. That is 2.9 for every 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64, against 4.9 across the EU, 4.7 in Denmark and 1.9 in Sweden. The fall follows the economy: unemployment reached 9.7 percent in 2025, and the immigration service names the weak economy as the main cause. On the national count, 11,324 first applications for a residence permit on the basis of work were filed in 2025, and from January to May 2026 applications rose 16 percent. Ukraine was the largest origin; the seven sourcing centres of Werklist received 2,936 permits. Our estimate is about 9,210 permits in 2026, the 2025 count held because applications rose, with a range of 5,690 to 14,000. For 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number, and the direction is flat; in 2031 the central line, a stated assumption, gives 9,210 a year.
First residence permits for work issued in 2025
Permits in 2026, 5,690 to 14,000
Permits a year in 2031, the central line
More people aged 20 to 64 by 2041
5.65 million people, growing only through arrivals
Finland has 5.65 million people, 181,128 more than in 2015. More people die than are born, 59,209 deaths against 45,832 births in 2025, and people moving in make up the difference. Output per head is 120 percent of the EU average, yet the economy grew 3.9 percent from 2021 to 2025, against 13.7 percent across the EU. On Eurostat's 2025 projection the number of people aged 20 to 64 grows 2.2 percent by 2041, and only because people move in.

People living in Finland on 1 January 2026
3.3 percent more than in 2015, and 1.3 percent of the EU's 452.0 million. People aged 65 and over were 23.6 percent of the population in 2025.
GDP in 2025, billion euro at current prices
1.5 percent of the EU economy.
GDP per head in 2025
120 percent of the EU average of 41,700 euro in 2025. Counting higher prices at home, 101 percent, down from 109 percent in 2015.
Real growth in 2025
Against 1.4 percent across the EU. Over 2021 to 2025 the economy grew 3.9 percent in all, the EU grew 13.7 percent (our estimate from the yearly rates).
People aged 20 to 64 in work, 2025
Against 76.1 percent across the EU.
Two changes to residence permits for work
Sources: Eurostat, demo_gind (population, updated 21 July 2026), nama_10_gdp and nama_10_pc (GDP, updated 21 September 2026), tec00114 (price adjusted GDP per head), tec00115 (growth), lfsi_emp_a (employment), demo_pjanbroad (age). All retrieved 27 September 2026. Figures for 2025 GDP, GDP per head and growth are provisional. Key dates: Finnish Immigration Service, 18 December 2024 and 11 June 2025; Act 255/2025, Statute Book of Finland; retrieved 27 September 2026.
More deaths than births, arrivals keep growth going
Deaths outnumber births every year since 2019, and arrivals more than fill the gap
In 2025, 59,209 people died and 45,832 were born. Net migration added 30,287, so the population grew by 16,910.
Source: Eurostat, demo_gind (updated 21 July 2026), migr_imm1ctz and migr_emi1ctz (moves of a year or more), retrieved 27 September 2026. Net migration includes Eurostat's statistical adjustment. Not published: moves in and out for 2025.
About 5.66 million people by 2041 on Eurostat's projection
Observed to 2026, then Eurostat's 2025 projection in the lighter line.
Source: Eurostat, demo_gind (observed, updated 21 July 2026) and proj_25np (EUROPOP2025 baseline and migration tests, updated 11 June 2026), retrieved 27 September 2026.
The share aged 65 and over rises to 26%
Source: Eurostat, demo_pjanbroad (2025) and proj_25np (2041), retrieved 27 September 2026.
281.8 billion euro in 2025, and the IMF forecast to 2031
Real growth under each year: observed to 2025 (Eurostat, tec00115), the IMF forecast after. Sources: Eurostat, nama_10_gdp (2025 provisional); IMF, World Economic Outlook April 2026; Werklist calculation: the other years are the 2025 value moved by the real growth rates; retrieved 27 September 2026.
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ReportsPermits peaked in 2022 and have fallen since
After the 2022 peak, permits fell three years running, by 41 percent in all
Finland issued 9,211 first residence permits for work in 2025, against 11,332 in 2024 and 8,228 in 2019.
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst, first residence permits issued for employment reasons, reference years 2019 to 2025, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026.
A first residence permit for work is the first residence permit of 3 months or more a citizen of a country outside the EU receives to work in Finland: the residence permit for an employed person, the EU Blue Card and other permits for work. Renewals and seasonal work of up to 90 days are not counted.
Seven in ten permits issued in 2025 run for a year or more
The share valid for 12 months or more: 63.4 percent in 2019, 69.0 percent in 2025.
Share of permits valid for 12 months or more
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst by length of validity, reference years 2019 to 2025, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026.
Eurostat's count and the national count, 2025
First residence permits for work, Eurostat, 2025
First applications for a residence permit on the basis of work, Finnish Immigration Service, 2025
The national count is applications filed, 25 percent fewer than in 2024; some are refused or decided the next year, so permits issued run below it.
Sources: Eurostat, migr_resfirst, updated 11 September 2026; Finnish Immigration Service, Immigration statistics 2025, 30 January 2026; retrieved 27 September 2026.
Below the EU rate, between Sweden and Denmark
First residence permits for work per 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64
The first residence permits for work a country issues in a year, divided by the residents aged 20 to 64 living there on 1 January of that year. Only first residence permits for work are counted, as Eurostat counts them.
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst (first residence permits for employment) and demo_pjangroup (residents aged 20 to 64 on 1 January), reference years 2019 to 2025, updated 11 September 2026 and 25 September 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026. Werklist calculation. The EU line: migr_resfirst and demo_pjangroup for the 27 EU countries (residents aged 20 to 64 in 2024 summed from single years of age, demo_pjan).
Per 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64 in 2025, by length of permit
| EU | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All lengths | 2.9 | 1.9 | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| 12 months or more | 2.0 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| 3 to 11 months | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst by length of validity and demo_pjangroup, 2025, retrieved 27 September 2026. Werklist calculation.
Finland issued 2.9 first residence permits for work per 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64 in 2025, down from 5.0 in 2022 and below the EU rate of 4.9. Of its four Nordic peers, Denmark issued 4.67, Norway 2.43 and Sweden 1.89 in 2025, and Iceland 2.25 in 2024 (Eurostat); Sweden fell from 4.4 in 2019. On permits of a year or more Finland issues 2.0 and Sweden 1.2. The stricter Swedish rules of June and July 2026 came after the years shown.
How Sweden tightened its rules
Sources: Swedish Migration Agency, news of 1 June, 16 June and 13 July 2026, retrieved 30 September 2026; Aliens Ordinance (2006:97), chapter 5, section 6, retrieved 28 September 2026.
Ukraine leads, the Philippines second, China third
Ukraine received 1,420 permits in 2025 and the Philippines 975, a third fewer than in 2024. The seven sourcing centres of Werklist received 2,936, or 31.9 percent: the Philippines 975, India 847, Vietnam 434, Bangladesh 259, Nepal 219, Uzbekistan 138 and Indonesia 64.
| Citizenship | Permits 2024 | Permits 2025 | Share 2024 | Share 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,525 | 1,420 | 13.5% | 15.4% | |
| 1,484 | 975 | 13.1% | 10.6% | |
| 757 | 890 | 6.7% | 9.7% | |
| 933 | 847 | 8.2% | 9.2% | |
| 525 | 434 | 4.6% | 4.7% | |
| 502 | 395 | 4.4% | 4.3% | |
| 274 | 362 | 2.4% | 3.9% | |
| 487 | 320 | 4.3% | 3.5% | |
| 240 | 310 | 2.1% | 3.4% | |
| 605 | 274 | 5.3% | 3.0% | |
| Other origins | 4,000 | 2,984 | 35.3% | 32.4% |
| All origins | 11,332 | 9,211 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst by citizenship, reference years 2024 and 2025, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026.
Ukraine alone received 15.4% of the permits issued in 2025
The ten named here received 67.6%. The largest of the other origins was Bangladesh, with 259.
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst by citizenship, reference year 2025, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026.
Finland issued 2,936 permits to the seven centres, Denmark 5,694
Permits for citizens of the seven sourcing centres (Nepal, India, the Philippines, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Indonesia and Uzbekistan) in 2025, against all first residence permits for work.
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst by citizenship, reference year 2025, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026.
Ukraine first, the seven sourcing centres 31.9% of permits
First residence permits for work by citizenship, 2019 to 2025
Permits for the Philippines rose from 549 in 2019 to 2,856 in 2023, then fell back to 975 in 2025. Nepal and Bangladesh grew from small numbers, from 74 and 53 in 2019 to 219 and 259, while other origins fell from 7,162 in 2022 to 2,888.
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst, first residence permits issued for employment reasons, by citizenship, reference years 2019 to 2025, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 29 September 2026.
The seven sourcing centres of Werklist in 2025: the Philippines 975 permits, India 847, Vietnam 434, Bangladesh 259, Nepal 219, Uzbekistan 138 and Indonesia 64, 2,936 in all.
| Citizenship | 2019 | 2024 | 2025 | Share 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,593 | 1,525 | 1,420 | 15.4% | |
| 549 | 1,484 | 975 | 10.6% | |
| 625 | 757 | 890 | 9.7% | |
| 1,306 | 933 | 847 | 9.2% | |
| 275 | 525 | 434 | 4.7% | |
| 217 | 502 | 395 | 4.3% | |
| not reported | 274 | 362 | 3.9% | |
| 109 | 487 | 320 | 3.5% | |
| 53 | 211 | 259 | 2.8% | |
| 74 | 204 | 219 | 2.4% | |
| 61 | 126 | 138 | 1.5% | |
| 15 | 53 | 64 | 0.7% | |
| Other origins | 3,351 | 4,251 | 2,888 | 31.4% |
| All origins | 8,228 | 11,332 | 9,211 | 100.0% |
Source: Eurostat, migr_resfirst, first residence permits issued for employment reasons, by citizenship, reference years 2019 to 2025, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 29 September 2026.
Stricter rules, 70,100 more people aged 20 to 64 by 2041
The rules as they stand on 27 September 2026
The immigration service may apply a labour market test: whether a suitable jobseeker is available in Finland or the EU and EEA within a reasonable time.
The gross salary must be at least 1,600 euro a month in 2026 for a residence permit for an employed person.
In July 2026 a positive decision on a first residence permit for an employed person took 17 days on average, the immigration service reports.
Since 8 January 2026 the main route to permanent residence needs six years, satisfactory Finnish or Swedish and two years of work in Finland.
Sources: Aliens Act 301/2004, section 56 a, as amended by Act 1408/2025 (Statute Book of Finland, 29 December 2025, in force 8 January 2026); Finnish Immigration Service, pages on the residence permit for an employed person and on permanent residence. All retrieved 27 September 2026.
About 70,100 more people aged 20 to 64 by 2041
Eurostat projects 3,176,248 in 2026 and 3,246,314 in 2041, a rise of 2.2 percent. With lower migration the number falls by 31,556; with higher migration it rises by 175,689.
Source: Eurostat, proj_25np, EUROPOP2025 baseline and migration sensitivity tests, updated 11 June 2026; 2025 observed, demo_pjangroup, updated 25 September 2026; retrieved 27 September 2026.
Citizens of Finland who left in 2024, down from 10,036 in 2019
Fewer citizens leave than in 2019, though still about 9,000 a year.
Eurostat, migr_emi1ctz, retrieved 27 September 2026
Unemployment in 2025, against 6.0 percent across the EU
About one in ten in the labour force is looking for work, well above the EU's 6.0 percent.
Eurostat, une_rt_a, retrieved 27 September 2026
Job vacancy rate in 2025, against 2.1 percent across the EU
About one job in a hundred stood open and unfilled, down from 2.3 in 2023.
Eurostat, jvs_a_rate_r2, updated 20 March 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026
About 9,210 permits in 2026, between 5,690 and 14,000
We expect about 9,210 first residence permits for work in 2026, between 5,690 and 14,000, the 9,211 of 2025 held. Applications rose 16 percent from January to May 2026, the Finnish Immigration Service reports, so the central line does not fall. For 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number, and the direction is flat. After it we give one line on a stated assumption and two scenarios.
Permits in 2026, our estimate
between 5,690 and 14,000
Permits a year in 2031, the central line, a stated assumption
demand without migration 10,000, a scenario; pace of applications 10,700, a scenario
Direction of the rules and of the count
Permits in 2027: flat; the range is too wide for a yearly number
The central line, a stated assumption, holds at 9,210; both scenarios lie above it
First residence permits for work issued to 2025, then our estimate with its range for 2026; for 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number and the direction is flat. From 2027, one line on a stated assumption and two scenarios in grey. The central line holds the 2025 count, as first applications rose 16 percent from January to May 2026 (Finnish Immigration Service). Pace of applications is a scenario, not a forecast: permits rise 16 percent with the applications and then hold, though not every application ends in a permit. Demand without migration is a scenario, not a forecast: without migration Eurostat's projection has 176,488 fewer people aged 20 to 64 by 2041, and filling that loss would take the count toward 12,400 a year; the central line leaves it out, as the back test scored that term worse where the working age does not fall (207 cases). No peers' line is drawn: Finland already issues 2.91 first residence permits for work a year per 1,000 people aged 20 to 64, above 2.34, the median of its peers (Denmark 4.67, Norway 2.43 and Sweden 1.89 in 2025, Iceland 2.25 in 2024).
Source: Werklist estimate from Eurostat migr_resfirst (reference years to 2025, updated 11 September 2026); the central line holds the 2025 count: the change of the last five years, a fall, is not carried, as first applications for a residence permit on the basis of work rose 16 percent from January to May 2026 (Finnish Immigration Service, updated 29 June 2026), and no demand anchor enters, as the baseline projection does not have the number of people aged 20 to 64 falling; pace of applications, a scenario, raises the count of 2026 by those 16 percent and holds it; demand without migration, a scenario, reads the demand anchor on Eurostat's projection without migration (proj_25np); the range of 2026 from the back test on the EU and EFTA countries, 2019 to 2025; 2027 given as a direction, flat, as its range is too wide for a yearly number; retrieved 27 September 2026. Values rounded to three significant figures; the table gives the lines in 2031, 2036 and 2041, each line in a row of its own; Low and High give the range of 2026.
Origin shares held, and the drivers beside the lines
Nepal's share holds at about 2.4% from 2025 to 2031
Our estimate, which holds the shares of 2025. Nepal's range for 2031: 1.6 to 3.6 percent. The other six sourcing centres also hold their 2025 shares: the Philippines 10.6 percent, India 9.2, Vietnam 4.7, Bangladesh 2.8, Uzbekistan 1.5 and Indonesia 0.7; the move of one year is not read as a trend.
Source: Werklist estimate on Eurostat migr_resfirst by citizenship, updated 11 September 2026, retrieved 27 September 2026. Shares of each year's permits, to 2035, held at the shares of 2025.
The drivers beside the estimate
The applications of 2026 set the direction of the central line.
2.2 percent more from 2026 to 2041. It enters no line: the working age does not fall.
Applications rose in 2026, so the line holds the count of 2025.
9,013 left and 6,750 returned, all ages.
11,324 applications in 2025, against 9,211 first residence permits for work at Eurostat in 2025.
Against 2.34, the median of its four peers, and 4.92 across the EU.
6,156 first applications to 31 May 2026, against about 5,310 a year before (Finnish Immigration Service).
Sources: Eurostat proj_25np, migr_emi1ctz, migr_imm1ctz and migr_resfirst; Finnish Immigration Service, 30 January and 29 June 2026; retrieved 27 September 2026.
What could change this
Three changes could move the numbers on this page and the one before. The first is law but shows no effect on first residence permits for work yet; the other two are not settled.
Stricter permanent residence
Since 8 January 2026 the main route to permanent residence needs six years, Finnish or Swedish and two years of work (Act 1408/2025). It is law; no data yet show an effect on first residence permits for work, either way.
The EU single permit directive
Directive (EU) 2024/1233 was due in national law by 21 May 2026. It lets permit holders change employer more easily, which could raise the numbers. It is not in our estimate.
A recovery of the labour market
Unemployment was 9.7 percent in 2025 and the vacancy rate 1.3 percent, against 2.3 in 2023. The IMF expects growth of 1.5 percent in 2027; a recovery would lift the count, and no line assumes one.
How to read this report
What is counted
First residence permits for work, as Eurostat counts them: the first permit of 3 months or more a citizen of a country outside the EU receives to work. They include the residence permit for an employed person (Aliens Act 301/2004) and the EU Blue Card. Renewals and seasonal work of up to 90 days, on a seasonal work visa or certificate, are not counted.
What the range and the lines mean
The 2026 estimate has a low and a high end, and we expect the real number to fall between them. For 2027 the range is too wide for a number, so we give the direction, flat. From 2027 we draw one line on a stated assumption, and two scenarios in grey, never a forecast. Observed numbers are solid lines, estimates dashed.
How the estimate is made
We start from the 9,211 permits of 2025. Their fall over the last five years is not carried forward, as first applications rose 16 percent from January to May 2026: about 9,210 for 2026, held after. The number of people aged 20 to 64 is not projected to fall, so no demand anchor enters the central line. The range comes from a back test on the EU and EFTA countries.
Numbers, dates and words
Past counts are printed exactly; estimates are rounded to three significant figures. The comparisons with the Nordic neighbours and the EU are our arithmetic on Eurostat data. Permits are counted, not people; people appear only where we speak of the population.
Sources
Every source retrieved 27 September 2026; Eurostat's permits by citizenship over the years on 29 September 2026; the Aliens Ordinance of Sweden on 28 September 2026 and the Swedish Migration Agency's news on 30 September 2026.
- Eurostat, migr_resfirst, first residence permits by reason, length of validity and citizenship, reference years 2019 to 2025, updated 11 September 2026. ec.europa.eu/
eurostat/ databrowser/ view/ migr_resfirst - Eurostat, demo_gind, demo_pjangroup and demo_pjanbroad, population, births, deaths and age. ec.europa.eu/
eurostat/ databrowser - Eurostat, migr_imm1ctz and migr_emi1ctz, immigration and emigration by citizenship. ec.europa.eu/
eurostat/ databrowser - Eurostat, proj_25np, EUROPOP2025 population projection, baseline and migration sensitivity tests, updated 11 June 2026. ec.europa.eu/
eurostat/ databrowser/ view/ proj_25np - Eurostat, nama_10_gdp, nama_10_pc, tec00114 and tec00115, GDP, GDP per head and growth. ec.europa.eu/
eurostat/ databrowser - Eurostat, lfsi_emp_a and une_rt_a, employment and unemployment. ec.europa.eu/
eurostat/ databrowser - International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook, April 2026, real GDP growth. imf.org/
external/ datamapper - Eurostat, jvs_a_rate_r2, job vacancy rate, updated 20 March 2026. ec.europa.eu/
eurostat/ databrowser - Statute Book of Finland, Acts 255/2025 (in force 11 June 2025) and 1408/2025 (in force 8 January 2026) amending the Aliens Act 301/2004. finlex.fi
- Finnish Immigration Service, pages on the residence permit for an employed person, permanent residence and seasonal work; Immigration statistics 2025 of 30 January 2026; forecasts updated 29 June 2026. migri.fi
- European Union, Directive (EU) 2024/1233 of 24 April 2024, the single permit. eur-lex.europa.eu
- Swedish Migration Agency, news of 1 June, 16 June and 13 July 2026; Aliens Ordinance (2006:97), chapter 5, section 6. migrationsverket.se
Photographs and flags
Pexels: Helsinki at dusk, Tapio Haaja (cover); Helsinki from above, Chris Economou (page 3); port cranes, Enes Beydilli; a tram in Helsinki, Jose Noel Marenco; tower cranes, Airam Dato-on; Lake Evijärvi in the evening, Jussi Grönvall (back cover). Wikimedia Commons: Turku Castle, Leonhard Lenz. Flags: circle-flags by HatScripts, MIT licence.
What this report answers
How many first residence permits for work has Finland issued each year since 2019?
9,211 in 2025, 18.7% fewer than the 11,332 of 2024 and 41 percent below the 15,575 of the 2022 peak; 8,228 in 2019.
Which countries do the new hires come from, and which are growing?
Ukraine leads with 1,420 permits in 2025, ahead of the Philippines with 975, a third fewer than in 2024, China with 890 and India with 847. Nepal and Bangladesh have grown from small numbers, to 219 and 259.
How does Finland compare with its neighbours per resident?
2.9 first residence permits for work for every 1,000 residents aged 20 to 64 in 2025, down from 5.0 in 2022: below the EU's 4.9 and Denmark's 4.7, above Sweden's 1.9 and Estonia's 1.4.
Which rules apply to employers who hire from abroad?
The immigration service may test whether a suitable jobseeker is available in Finland or the EU and EEA, and the gross salary must be at least 1,600 euro a month in 2026. In July 2026 a positive decision on a first permit took 17 days on average.
How is the working age population changing?
Eurostat projects 3,176,248 people aged 20 to 64 in 2026 and 3,246,314 in 2041: about 70,100 more, a rise of 2.2 percent, and only because people move in.
How many first residence permits for work do we expect Finland to issue in 2026, and what comes after?
About 9,210 in 2026, between 5,690 and 14,000, the count of 2025 held because first applications rose 16 percent from January to May 2026. For 2027 the direction is flat. In 2031 the central line, a stated assumption, holds 9,210 a year.
The full report answers each question with its figures, charts and sources. Request the full report