Workforce Migration Report 2026: Bangladesh

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Dhaka at night, office towers reflected in the lake
Workforce Migration Report 2026
Bangladesh
29,626
First EU residence permits for work issued in 2025

Contents

In brief

The Overseas Employment Platform of the Bangladeshi ministry counts 1,132,368 emigration clearances in 2025; 22,589, or 2.0 percent, were for the 27 EU countries. Eurostat counts 29,626 first EU residence permits for work issued to citizens of Bangladesh, 7.7 percent fewer than in 2024. Portugal issued 15,992 of them in a one off count, which Eurostat marks as a break; without Portugal the permits fell 42.8 percent. On ease of entry, then size, Kuwait ranks first for citizens of Bangladesh, then Italy and Japan. The rules are tightening: two Portuguese routes closed, Romania's 2026 quota is 90,000 and a Romanian court suspended the shortage list on 10 September 2026. Our estimate is about 21,700 permits in 2026, between 13,400 and 32,900. For 2027 the range is too wide for a yearly number; the direction is flat. From 2028 we give scenarios, not forecasts: in 2031 they run from 14,700 (open routes in Portugal) to 31,600 (the clearances' pace); held flat gives 21,700.

Observed

First EU residence permits for work in 2025: down 7.7 percent, 42.8 without Portugal

29,626
Our estimate

Permits in 2026, our estimate, between 13,400 and 32,900

21,700
Our estimate

Permits a year from 2027 to 2031: the range is too wide for a yearly number

Flat
Observed

Share of the emigration clearances of 2025 that were for EU countries

2.0%

175.7 million people, young and still growing

Bangladesh has 175.7 million people, 16.3 million more than in 2015: births outnumber deaths by about 2.6 million a year, while more people leave than arrive. Output per head is 2,597 US dollars, 18 percent of the world average. Half the population is under 27, and the number aged 15 to 64 keeps rising until 2041.

Tea garden, Sreemangal

People living in Bangladesh in 2025, mid year

175,686,899

10.2 percent more than in 2015. People aged 15 to 64 were 65.7 percent of the population in 2025.

Median age in 2025

27.0years

Half the population is younger. Our estimate from the World Bank's five year age groups.

GDP per head in 2025

2,597dollars

18 percent of the world average of 14,406 US dollars.

The garment minimum wage a month, in force in 2026

91euro

12,500 taka for the entry grade, at 137.77 taka to the euro (2025 averages, World Bank and ECB). Wages are set by industry, not as one national rate; the euro figure is our estimate.

Money sent home by people working abroad, share of GDP, 2025

7.4%

Against 0.8 percent across the world.

The law and the wage

27 October 2013The overseas employment act replaces the emigration ordinance of 1982.
1 December 2023The garment minimum wage rises to 12,500 taka a month.

Sources: World Bank, World Development Indicators (population, GDP per head, personal remittances received as a share of GDP) and population estimates and projections (five year age groups, for our median age), retrieved 27 September 2026. Wage: Minimum Wages Board, Ministry of Labour and Employment, List of industries and the latest declared minimum total wage rates (row 29, garments: 12,500 taka for shop floor grades, 12,800 taka for staff grades); exchange rate: World Bank, PA.NUS.FCRF 2025 (121.92 taka per US dollar), and ECB, 2025 average (1.13 US dollars per euro); retrieved 27 September 2026. Key dates: Laws of Bangladesh, Act 48 of 2013; Minimum Wages Board, garment rates gazetted 20 December 2023.

Births drive growth, while more leave than arrive

Births outnumber deaths by about 2.6 million a year, and net departures have halved since 2021

In 2024, births minus deaths came to +2,583,129 and net migration to −473,362, so the population grew by about 2,109,767.

Births minus deaths, thousandsNet migration, thousands
−1,0000+1,000+2,000+3,0002019202020212022202320242025Births minus deathsNet migrationChange in the population+2,434−1,017+1,417+2,355−1,003+1,353+2,363−995+1,369+2,633−550+2,083+2,631−550+2,081+2,583−473+2,110−402

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators (net migration and crude birth and death rates from UN World Population Prospects 2024, whose estimates end in 2023; later years are its projection), retrieved 27 September 2026. Births minus deaths is our arithmetic on the crude rates. Not yet published: births minus deaths for 2025.

203.94 million by 2041, the World Bank projects

Estimated to 2025, then the World Bank's projection in the lighter line.

140 million160 million180 million200 million220 millionWorld Bank projection159.38 million in 2015175.69 million in 2025203.94 million in 2041201520202025203120362041

Source: World Bank, SP.POP.TOTL (World Development Indicators); World Bank, population projection based on UN World Population Prospects 2024; retrieved 27 September 2026.

The share aged 65 and over rises to 10%

0 to 1415 to 6465 and over
2025, observed27.6%65.7%6.7%2041, the World Bank's projection22.3%67.6%10.1%

Source: World Bank, population estimates and projections, retrieved 27 September 2026.

456.3 billion US dollars in 2025, and the IMF forecast to 2031

Billion US dollars at current prices of 2025IMF forecast
200400600800456.3 in 2025617.9 in 203120176.6%20197.9%20216.9%20235.8%20253.5%20274.3%20295.7%20316.1%

Real growth under each year: observed to 2025 (World Bank), the IMF forecast after. Sources: World Bank, NY.GDP.MKTP.CD (2025); IMF, World Economic Outlook April 2026; Werklist calculation: the other years are the 2025 value moved by the real growth rates; retrieved 27 September 2026.

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What this report answers

  • How many first EU residence permits for work went to citizens of Bangladesh each year since 2019?

    29,626 in 2025, 7.7% fewer than the 32,105 of 2024 and down from the peak of 33,409 in 2023, but more than five times the 5,352 of 2019. Without Portugal's one off count, permits fell 42.8%.

  • Which EU countries issue the most of them, and which are growing?

    Portugal issued 15,992 in 2025, 54.0%, clearing a backlog of people already in the country; Italy follows with 3,907 and Cyprus rose to 1,858. Croatia went from 9,928 in 2024 to 651 and Romania from 4,079 to 1,828.

  • How many emigration clearances does Bangladesh issue, and how many are for the EU?

    1,132,368 emigration clearances in 2025, two thirds for Saudi Arabia. Clearances for the 27 EU countries came to 22,589, or 2.0%, up from 13,878 in 2024.

  • What rules apply at home before a worker from Bangladesh can leave?

    Anyone going abroad for work registers with the employment bureau and gets a clearance, a passport stamp and a smart card. Only a licensed recruiting agent may recruit, insurance is compulsory, and the agent is liable with the employer for the contract.

  • How are the rules changing in the main destinations?

    The rules are opening in Italy, tightening in Romania and reversing in Portugal; Cyprus holds. Portugal closed two routes, Italy's decree sets 164,850 places for 2026, and Romania cut its 2026 quota to 90,000 while a court suspended its shortage list.

  • How many first EU residence permits for work do we expect in 2026, and what comes after?

    About 21,700 in 2026, between 13,400 and 32,900, with Portugal at its 2024 share. For 2027 the direction is flat. In 2031 held flat, a stated assumption, gives 21,700; five scenarios, not forecasts, run from 14,700 (open routes in Portugal) to 31,600 (the clearances' pace).

The full report answers each question with its figures, charts and sources. Request the full report